RandomGuy
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I saw some Doc's citing that. It makes an important distinction between true, and diagnosed cases. Based on existing data, it makes the argument that there are likely 16000 true cases currently in Washington. Although, factoring the nursing home cluster, the real # may be only 3000. The current time for it to double is 6.2 days. (That gives over 1 million cases by the end of April)This is an excellent article. Thank you very much for sharing even though it raises my concerns about what we are doing/not doing. I am not in a high risk group but I interact with people who are. Yesterday I made the decision to make my last visits to my 78yo mother at her Alzheimer's care facility and my 77yo father-in-law at his Rehabilitation Hospital (she won't notice my absence but he certainly will). My 82yo father is still in his home and going strong but he gets no more hugs for the foreseeable future. Those are the positive things I'm doing to protect my loved ones; however, I am selfishly still taking my vacation to Florida, partially driven by the fact that my husband is a physician and he fully expects his hospital to soon issue a travel ban for all docs to keep them close at hand. I want him to have a week of rest and relaxation before his marathon begins.
Some interesting stuff in there, with just the #'s. No need to freak out, that does nothing, but good info for those want to make their own decisions.
With folks freely moving around, one would expect the healthcare system to be overwhelmed. Fatality rate is 3 -5%, in that case.
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