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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 3732303, member: 1969"]
If you look at 2018 and 2019, we were a 9 seed and 3rd last team in at this time of year (I pulled archives -- see earlier post, but repasted below).    Certainly still bubble status, but much better standing than this year.    Which is why I struggle with the assertion that we control our destiny this year more than in prior years.

February 15, 2020 - ZERO people had us in
[URL]https://web.archive.org/web/20200216235550/http://www.bracketmatrix.com/[/URL]

February 16, 2019 - 95 out of 95 had us in (we were projected a 9 seed)
[URL]https://web.archive.org/web/20190218002810/http://www.bracketmatrix.com/[/URL]

February 14, 2018 - 71 out of 105 (we were an 11 seed, 3rd last team in)
[URL]https://web.archive.org/web/20180215123144/http://www.bracketmatrix.com/[/URL]

Did not have a chance to look at 2017 and 2016, but I suspect you will find we were doing better in those year as well in terms of the matrix at this time of year.

In 2018 and 2019 some people were thinking we had to do much more than we actually needed to -- ergo my point early in this thread where we oversell what is needed.   We probably maintained position by closing around .500.    This year we have to close better than in prior years.
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