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[QUOTE="sutomcat, post: 3769594, member: 27"]
I think Colorado State has the better resume.  They are in the tournament on most brackets.  Utah State is not, but they are just off.

The best case is probably a Colorado State win.  That should effectively eliminate Utah State, one of the teams most likely to jump us and take our bid.

If Utah State wins, Colorado moves from 11 seed range to 12 or maybe even out.  Utah State would also be in 12 seed range.  A loss by Utah State to San Diego State in the final could, best case, result in Colorado State and Utah State getting shunned.

But the Mountain West has been a good league.  They had 4 teams in or really close on the bubble (Boise State being the fourth).  If Utah State won and lost to San Diego State in the NW final, this could backfire and set things up so Colorado State, Utah State and San Diego State all make the tournament.  Too dangerous for me.

I would rather see Colorado State and San Diego State in the MW finals, with both likely in the NCAA tournament.
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