jncuse
I brought the Cocaine to the White House
- Joined
- Feb 19, 2012
- Messages
- 18,894
- Like
- 32,258
With Duke losing today, and Kansas earlier this week this is wide open. It's a meaningless accomplishment, heavily dictated by schedule for most teams. but always something interesting to follow.
It's a non traditional bunch of seven teams.
Using the probabilities from RPI Forecast which come from Sagarin, here is the probabilities of the teams to stay undefeated at end of December 31, 2017 and January 10, 2017: (Note - I made an estimate for Miami's Holiday Tournament)
Probability Unbeaten at December 31, 2017:
1. TCU - 59.3%
2. Villanova - 55.2%
3. Miami - 32.3%
4. Florida St -11.0%
5. Miss St - 6.1%
6. Georgetown - 5.2%
7. Arizona St - 3.7%
Probability Unbeaten at January 10, 2018:
1. Villanova - 37.9%
2. Miami - 16.6%
3. TCU - 3.1%
4. Arizona St - 1.3%
5. Florida St -1.0%
6. Georgetown - 0.2%
7. Miss St - 0.1%
So it looks like it will end up being one of Villanova, TCU or Miami. As much as I hate Dixon, and despite his postseason failings, he is a really good coach. Great job running him out Pitt!
It's a non traditional bunch of seven teams.
Using the probabilities from RPI Forecast which come from Sagarin, here is the probabilities of the teams to stay undefeated at end of December 31, 2017 and January 10, 2017: (Note - I made an estimate for Miami's Holiday Tournament)
Probability Unbeaten at December 31, 2017:
1. TCU - 59.3%
2. Villanova - 55.2%
3. Miami - 32.3%
4. Florida St -11.0%
5. Miss St - 6.1%
6. Georgetown - 5.2%
7. Arizona St - 3.7%
Probability Unbeaten at January 10, 2018:
1. Villanova - 37.9%
2. Miami - 16.6%
3. TCU - 3.1%
4. Arizona St - 1.3%
5. Florida St -1.0%
6. Georgetown - 0.2%
7. Miss St - 0.1%
So it looks like it will end up being one of Villanova, TCU or Miami. As much as I hate Dixon, and despite his postseason failings, he is a really good coach. Great job running him out Pitt!