this bpi index on espn has NC State winning

[dasher]

59% I really wonder how they get that. We finished higher in the league standings. We beat them twice.
Yes. The game is pretty much a toss up. Both earlier games could have gonbe either way. But why does this
index favor NC State?

 

[EnviroSciGuy]

59% I really wonder how they get that. We finished higher in the league standings. We beat them twice.
Yes. The game is pretty much a toss up. Both earlier games could have gonbe either way. But why does this
index favor NC State?

I blame NET.

I also have no idea what I'm talking about.

 

[Cusefan0307]

pOiNt dIfFErEnTIal Is tHe OnLy tHinG tHAT mATTers

 

[blust2i3d4]

59% I really wonder how they get that. We finished higher in the league standings. We beat them twice.
Yes. The game is pretty much a toss up. Both earlier games could have gonbe either way. But why does this
index favor NC State?

Home court advantage.

 

[dasher]

I

Home court advantage.

Isn't this game in Washington?

 

[General20]

If you went by the bpi, Syracuse would be about 5-20 this year. They had us losing to Georgetoen by double figures. Luckily it's a lousy metric and usually wrong.

 

[storange]

because

 

[Cusefannotindc]

59% I really wonder how they get that. We finished higher in the league standings. We beat them twice.
Yes. The game is pretty much a toss up. Both earlier games could have gonbe either way. But why does this
index favor NC State?

the BPI model thinks NC State is a better team (BPI has been pretty down on SU all season), particularly on offense. BPI gives a 2.4 point edge and that roughly translates to a team winning 59% of the time. Things like conferences standings and w/l are less predictive than offensive and defensive efficiencies, and its not clear that beating a team twice in a season matters.

BPI is making predictions on every game played, if you focus on one team you are going to have disagreements with it. Vegas has a bit more skin in the game with accuracy, but they only need to be accurate enough to make money with 4% vig.

 

[Brooky03]

IDK who BPI is but..

 

[Rage4CUSE]

Looks like BPI was being generous, garbage has shown up in the second half tonight. Pure garbage.

 

[dwilmont44]

Looks like BPI was being generous, garbage has shown up in the second half tonight. Pure garbage.

Yeah turns out BPI was indeed wrong.

Monkey paw curls.

 

[dasher]

It was wrong. Should have been 100%

 

[RaoulDuke]

59% I really wonder how they get that. We finished higher in the league standings. We beat them twice.
Yes. The game is pretty much a toss up. Both earlier games could have gonbe either way. But why does this
index favor NC State?

Ken Pom also had NC ST winning ...

 

[dasher]

Ken Pom also had NC ST winning ...

Ken Pom also had the Orange winning 12 games pre season.