this bpi index on espn has NC State winning | Syracusefan.com

this bpi index on espn has NC State winning

dasher

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59% I really wonder how they get that. We finished higher in the league standings. We beat them twice.
Yes. The game is pretty much a toss up. Both earlier games could have gonbe either way. But why does this
index favor NC State?
 
59% I really wonder how they get that. We finished higher in the league standings. We beat them twice.
Yes. The game is pretty much a toss up. Both earlier games could have gonbe either way. But why does this
index favor NC State?
I blame NET.

I also have no idea what I'm talking about.
 
59% I really wonder how they get that. We finished higher in the league standings. We beat them twice.
Yes. The game is pretty much a toss up. Both earlier games could have gonbe either way. But why does this
index favor NC State?
Home court advantage.
 
59% I really wonder how they get that. We finished higher in the league standings. We beat them twice.
Yes. The game is pretty much a toss up. Both earlier games could have gonbe either way. But why does this
index favor NC State?

the BPI model thinks NC State is a better team (BPI has been pretty down on SU all season), particularly on offense. BPI gives a 2.4 point edge and that roughly translates to a team winning 59% of the time. Things like conferences standings and w/l are less predictive than offensive and defensive efficiencies, and its not clear that beating a team twice in a season matters.

BPI is making predictions on every game played, if you focus on one team you are going to have disagreements with it. Vegas has a bit more skin in the game with accuracy, but they only need to be accurate enough to make money with 4% vig.
 
IDK who BPI is but..
quotev GIF
 
Looks like BPI was being generous, garbage has shown up in the second half tonight. Pure garbage.
 
59% I really wonder how they get that. We finished higher in the league standings. We beat them twice.
Yes. The game is pretty much a toss up. Both earlier games could have gonbe either way. But why does this
index favor NC State?
Ken Pom also had NC ST winning ...
 

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