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[QUOTE="Larry, post: 3835135, member: 6662"]
As of Sunday evening, April 18, 2025

Odds -> [URL="http://www.laxbytes.com/#p4"]Lacrosse Ratings of high school and college. Formerly Laxpower[/URL]
Criteria -> [URL="http://www.laxbytes.com/#p2"]Lacrosse Ratings of high school and college. Formerly Laxpower[/URL]

Syracuse Men:
      Odds to make the tournament: 67.6%
      Odds to reach quarters: 27.2%
      Odds to reach semis: 9.3%
      Odds to reach finals: 3.7%
      Odds to win the championship:  1.4%

Syracuse Women:
      Odds to make the tournament: 100%
      Odds to reach quarters: 66.6%
      Odds to reach semis: 51.1%
      Odds to reach finals: 38.8%
      Odds to win the championship: 19.0%   
      
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MD1 Analysis:  
***************

Nine conferences have an AQ and there are Eight At-Large. Five of the At-large are a 
lock: Duke, North Carolina,Maryland, Notre Dame and Virginia. Contenders for the 
remaining three at-large are:

(a) Syracuse,
(b) Big-Ten runner-up (Maryland or Rutgers)  *
(c) Big-East runner-up (Denver or Georgetown)  *
(d) Patriot runner-up (Army or Lehigh) *
* if neither of those teams win their AQ, then there is probably only one of those teams 
  getting in.

(e) Other long-shot at-large bids could go to:  Drexel, Monmouth, Delaware and Stony Brook,
Albany and LIU but highly unlikely. 
  
Syracuse has high rankings in RPI and SOS and despite its record, would probably be in. However 
in this pandemic year, the committee may not adhere to RPI and SOS rankings because of the lack of
inter-conference play. Furthermore, it is unlikely the ACC will get all five teams in whereas 
most other conferences will only get one invitation.

*****************************************
Proposition Scenarios for the Tournament:
*****************************************

Who is going to be champion?

As of April 18

Men D1
  Odds are 3/4 that either Duke, Maryland, Notre Dame or UNC will win it all.
  Odds are 1/5 that either Virginia, Denver, Rutgers, Syracuse, Army or Georgetown will win it all.
  Odds are 1/20 that one of the remaining teams will win it all.

Women D1
  Odds are 3/4 that either Boston Col, Syracuse, UNC or Northwestern will win it all.
  Probability that the championship game will be an all ACC final? Men D1: 60%; Women D1 75%

Odds on favorite to be champion?

Men's Division I: North Carolina (runner-up: Duke)
Men's Division II: Mercyhurst  (runner-up: Wingate)
Men's Division III: Salisbury (runner-uo illinois Wesleyan)

Women's Division I: North Carolina (runner-up: Syracuse)
Women's Division II: Indianapolis (runner-up: Queens)
Women's Division III: St John Fisher (runner-up: Ithaca)

Odds both UNC Men and Women are champions: 1/25
Odds neither UNC Men nor Women are champions: 2/3

Odds -> [URL="http://www.laxbytes.com/#p4"]Lacrosse Ratings of high school and college. Formerly Laxpower[/URL]
Criteria -> [URL="http://www.laxbytes.com/#p2"]Lacrosse Ratings of high school and college. Formerly Laxpower[/URL]
[/QUOTE]

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