Times 12/9 | Syracusefan.com

Times 12/9

SWC75

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We aspire to be a top 25 programs so I’m comparing the performances of our best players in passing, running and receiving to the performances top 25 teams tend to get.

The average quarterback of a top 25 team last year completed 224 of 351 passes (65.8%) for 2895 yards, 23TDs and 9 interceptions. That’s 12.9 yards per completion, 8.3 yards per attempt and an NCAA quarterback rating of 149.6.

Ryan Nassib, if you multiply his numbers by 12/9, is on pace to wind up with 259 of 399 passes, (64.8%) for 2613 yards, 24TDs and 8 interceptions. That’s 10.1 yards per completion, 6.5 yards per attempt and an NCAA quarterback rating of 135.8. The thing that’s still missing is the vertical passing game. Nassib has looked his best when we are in the no-huddle and passing most of the time. That’s what we were doing when he completed 22 straight vs. Rhode Island and USC and in the second half vs. UCONN.

The average top running back for a top 25 team last year carried the ball 199 times for 1093 yards, (5.5 yards per attempt) and 12TDs.

Antwon Bailey, when you multiply his numbers by 12/9, is on pace for 236 carries for 1064 yards, (4.5) and 8TDS.He gaining the yards of a top 25 back but on more carries for fewer scores. He’s still gaining 76% of our rushing yards compared to 68% for Delone Carter last year. (Carter also averaged 5.3 yards per carry despite not being as fast.) We’re still looking for that sidekick that he was to Carter. Antwon is on a pace for 23 receptions for 136 yards and no scores after getting 35/306/3 last year. His role as a primary runner is limiting his greatest quality: his versatility. If he was paired with a power-running fullback, he’d be a more effective player.

The average leading receiver for a top 25 team last caught 63 passes for 947 yards, (15.0), and 8 TDs.

Alec Lemon is on a pace to catch 63 passes for 708 yards, (11.2- last week it was 9.8 so you can see he had a big game vs. UCONN) and 5 TDs. Van Chew is on a pace for 39 catches for 505 yards, (12.9- this has been steadily going down) and 4TDs. Nick Provo has passed Chew in receptions and is on a pace for 52 for 547 yards (10.5) and 8 big TDs. Dorian Graham is on pace for 28 receptions, 311 yards (11.1) and 3TDs. The thing is, he’s the one guy with deep speed yet we have him running possession routes. When we break out with the vertical game, he should be the guy. None of them has the numbers of an ace receiver for a top 25 team.
 
 

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