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[QUOTE="DoctahLexus, post: 4554405, member: 6798"]
Well at least it is just a model like he says. Wonder what the system is for lost and gained players as that seems like it would be the toughest thing to calculate, with many players replaced by unknowns. You can bet that the main reason by far for that number is us having one of the least efficient defenses in the nation last year and the least efficient man down unit by any metric. Frankly, if the defense looks like it did last season then I would take the under on this. You put last years D efficiency with this years fogo unit and it will be ugly as hell this year.

I guess it is encouraging to see the optimism from some of the fans here this year, along with a surprising amount of neutral lax fans confident in us covering against UVM, but I just can't get over how terrible we looked on D for most of the season and how important Phaup was for all of it. I have some hope and think this team has a high ceiling, but can't ignore that the floor for this team is low low low. Petro has to prove he is not our biggest problem.
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