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Message: [QUOTE="wgdsr, post: 4142264, member: 7179"] my analytics are faceoffs won + successful clears + successful rides = possessions. not perfect, but close enough. good teams will generally be in low 30s to high 30s for the year on either side. not a perfect dispersion, of course. 10% drop in faceoffs will mean 3 more possessions 1st to other team. so approx a goal each way. less if you discount it a bit for 6 v 6 vs successful rides, fast breaks (there really aren't that many off the faceoff). that won't matter against detroit mercy and maybe they continue to beat them at same /o pace but lose say 20% more to a unc where it can make things tough. reynolds or the kid from lehigh should be able to replace thornton. replacing their 1st teamer not as easy. cochran did get several starts 2 years ago in 5 games and is back after a medical redshirt. their freshman fogo lynch was one of the best in the country by ratings, but of course he is a freshman. [/QUOTE]