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Message: [QUOTE="Townie72, post: 224759, member: 780"] Believe what you want. But why go to all that trouble of figuring out which team is going to win when all you care about is achieving a 50% - 50% balance on either side of each bet? If they do that they cannot lose. (They also care about the size of the amount bet and sometimes they set odds to tease ome money into the game.) If they are studying something, it would be the beliefs of the betting community. That's what they care about and understanding that allows them to make the most money. The NCAA basketball tourney is a difficult for Vegas as so many casual bettors enter the game and many are psychologically tied to a team. They then have to consider the psychology of these occasional bettors. [/QUOTE]