SWC75
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One thing I always wonder about is: Who won the weekend? Which college football team gave the best performance? I decided to look at the question with this system: (1) List the AP top 25 teams going into the weekend; (2) Give each of them points in reverse order of their ranking: 25 for #1, 24 for #2, etc.; (3) Give their opponent that number of points; (4) add the number of points the opponent beat them by or (5) subtract the number of points the opponent lost by. The net result is the number of points the opponents gets for their performance that week. I will keep track only of positive points as I’m trying to measure positive accomplishments, not discredit teams for negative ones.
In the first week, Clemson played the #5 team , Georgia. They get 21 points for that. The beat them by 3 to push it to 24 points. Georgia played Clemson, the #8 team. They got 18 points for that. They lost by 3 and wound up with 15 points. A good performance doesn’t necessarily mean you won. Washington took on #19 Boise State, which gives then 7 points to start with. They won by the shocking score of 38-6 and wound up with 39 points, giving them the most impressive performance of the weekend. Lowly Buffalo came back from a 0-23 first quarter deficit against #2 Ohio State to get within 20-30 and then had a fumble recovery in front of the Ohio State goal line negated by a dubious penalty. They wound up losing by 20 but got 4 points out of it.
There are two obvious problems here: you only get points if you played a ranked opponent: Buffalo could get points this weekend for playing Ohio State but Alabama could get none for playing an unranked Virginia Tech team. But I’m trying to measure exactly that: how did teams do against ranked opponents? Alabama will play more ranked opponents than Buffalo this year and they will wind up with a lot more points. The other problem is that the ranking of a team will change over the course of a season. Southern California started out ranked #1 last year and were still #2 when we played them fairly close. They tumbled to 7-6 and were unranked by the end of the season. But teams can change through injuries, poor response to frustrating losses, chemistry problems, they don’t like the coach, etc. They may have been a more formidable team when they were ranked.
But I’m not going to offer this as an alternative ranking of teams, just as a statistic to look at when deciding where to rank teams. Here are the teams that earned positive points this week for their performance under this system:
WEEK FOURTEEN
South Carolina beat #6 Clemson by 14 = 34 points
Auburn beat #1 Alabama by 6 = 31 points
UCLA beat #23 Southern California by 21 = 24 points
Michigan lost to #3 Ohio State by 1 = 22 points
San Jose State beat #16 Fresno State by 10 = 20 points
Penn State beat #15 Wisconsin by 7 = 18 points
Alabama lost to #4 Auburn by 6 = 16 points
Texas A&M lost to #5 Missouri by 7 = 14 points
Texas Christian lost to #9 Baylor by 3 = 14 points
Missouri beat #21 Texas A&M by 7 = 12 points
Oregon State lost to #13 Oregon by 1 = 12 points
Notre Dame lost to #8 Stanford by 7 = 11 points
Stanford beat #25 Notre Dame by 7 = 8 points
Arkansas lost to #17 Louisiana State by 4 = 5 points
Minnesota lost to #11 Michigan State by 11 = 4 points
South Florida lost to #19 Central Florida by 3 = 3 points
Clemson lost to #10 South Carolina by 14 = 2 points
Comment: In my system you can get points for a close loss to a ranked team and 10 of these 17 team lost their games Texas A&M got more points for losing to Missouri than Missouri did for beating them. The same thing happened with Notre Dame and Stanford. Despite some quirks, I think the best performances are at the top of the list. You can rearrange them a bit if you want, but they wouldn’t change all that much. I’m measuring how you did against ranked teams and both the ranking and the result matters.
In the first week, Clemson played the #5 team , Georgia. They get 21 points for that. The beat them by 3 to push it to 24 points. Georgia played Clemson, the #8 team. They got 18 points for that. They lost by 3 and wound up with 15 points. A good performance doesn’t necessarily mean you won. Washington took on #19 Boise State, which gives then 7 points to start with. They won by the shocking score of 38-6 and wound up with 39 points, giving them the most impressive performance of the weekend. Lowly Buffalo came back from a 0-23 first quarter deficit against #2 Ohio State to get within 20-30 and then had a fumble recovery in front of the Ohio State goal line negated by a dubious penalty. They wound up losing by 20 but got 4 points out of it.
There are two obvious problems here: you only get points if you played a ranked opponent: Buffalo could get points this weekend for playing Ohio State but Alabama could get none for playing an unranked Virginia Tech team. But I’m trying to measure exactly that: how did teams do against ranked opponents? Alabama will play more ranked opponents than Buffalo this year and they will wind up with a lot more points. The other problem is that the ranking of a team will change over the course of a season. Southern California started out ranked #1 last year and were still #2 when we played them fairly close. They tumbled to 7-6 and were unranked by the end of the season. But teams can change through injuries, poor response to frustrating losses, chemistry problems, they don’t like the coach, etc. They may have been a more formidable team when they were ranked.
But I’m not going to offer this as an alternative ranking of teams, just as a statistic to look at when deciding where to rank teams. Here are the teams that earned positive points this week for their performance under this system:
WEEK FOURTEEN
South Carolina beat #6 Clemson by 14 = 34 points
Auburn beat #1 Alabama by 6 = 31 points
UCLA beat #23 Southern California by 21 = 24 points
Michigan lost to #3 Ohio State by 1 = 22 points
San Jose State beat #16 Fresno State by 10 = 20 points
Penn State beat #15 Wisconsin by 7 = 18 points
Alabama lost to #4 Auburn by 6 = 16 points
Texas A&M lost to #5 Missouri by 7 = 14 points
Texas Christian lost to #9 Baylor by 3 = 14 points
Missouri beat #21 Texas A&M by 7 = 12 points
Oregon State lost to #13 Oregon by 1 = 12 points
Notre Dame lost to #8 Stanford by 7 = 11 points
Stanford beat #25 Notre Dame by 7 = 8 points
Arkansas lost to #17 Louisiana State by 4 = 5 points
Minnesota lost to #11 Michigan State by 11 = 4 points
South Florida lost to #19 Central Florida by 3 = 3 points
Clemson lost to #10 South Carolina by 14 = 2 points
Comment: In my system you can get points for a close loss to a ranked team and 10 of these 17 team lost their games Texas A&M got more points for losing to Missouri than Missouri did for beating them. The same thing happened with Notre Dame and Stanford. Despite some quirks, I think the best performances are at the top of the list. You can rearrange them a bit if you want, but they wouldn’t change all that much. I’m measuring how you did against ranked teams and both the ranking and the result matters.