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[QUOTE="cuse522, post: 2094755, member: 1149"]
Look at the bubble, it's awful. This team's record vs. the top 50, wins vs top 10 teams, and at-worst .500 record in the ACC go pretty far. Plus, even if 'Cuse loses out they'll be 6-6 in their last 12 in a stretch in which they faced FIVE top-10 teams.

So yeah, even if they lose out... Even if they end up 17-15... They'll still have a pretty good shot to get in. 50/50 territory.

Don't compare this year's team/resume to last year's or the bubble in the last 10 years. Compare it to THIS year's bubble. Right now the last team in according to Lunardi is TCU. If they win out to end the regular season, they'd be:

19-12
60th RPI
5-5 Last 10
2-10 vs. Top 50
Resume Wins: 84-77 vs. Iowa State (37th RPI), 80-71 vs. Illinois State (33rd RPI)

Our resume wins and record against the top 50 destroy theirs even at 17-15... We'd have three wins better than their best. So to say we aren't at least 50-50 against a resume like that seems kind of crazy to me. Plus, that's if we lose out and they win out.
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