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[QUOTE="Waltdods, post: 943043, member: 2932"]
My point with the top-5/offense and top-20/defense is that folks very, very often say that Syracuse is a better defensive team than offensive team, while Pomeroy's numbers show SU to be an elite offensive team and a very good defensive team.  To me, that's an interesting point.

I'm fairly certain we have not yet beaten Duke twice. But actually, I think Duke is a good argument for the strength of the system - the human polls still have Duke at 8, but they've been playing very well lately and it seems like Pomeroy captures this better than the voters.

To revert to my earlier posts, I did not watch Arizona lose last night (I miss a lot of the seven gazillion college basketball games!).  And there's nothing in Pomeroy's formula to adjust for the injury, so they're getting credit for performance by a team that, in a sense, no longer exists.  So he's likely to over-rate Arizona for a while.  I think we can all recognize that and adjust our thoughts accordingly.

But again, no one is arguing these ratings are right all the time.  We're arguing that they're informative and transparent.
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