Why hockey?

[SWC75]

Of the three sports that use 7 game series, there have been 5 times when teams overcame 0-3 deficits in games to win the series. Four have come in hockey:

How many 3-0 series comebacks have there been in the NHL? Full list of Stanley Cup playoff miracles | Sporting News.

Why hockey?

 

[jncuse]

Of the three sports that use 7 game series, there have been 5 times when teams overcame 0-3 deficits in games to win the series. Four have come in hockey:

How many 3-0 series comebacks have there been in the NHL? Full list of Stanley Cup playoff miracles | Sporting News.

Why hockey?

My theory.

There are more games in hockey where the crappier team that night wins as opposed to basketball.

In a 2-1 or 3-2 game there is a lot of puck luck in terms of determining who wins a game (puck just goes off a buy to win).. and sometimes just a hot goalie. In hockey a team that is up 3-0 in a series is sometimes not dominating as much as the NBA team that is up 3-0.

 

[Capt. Tuttle]

Of the three sports that use 7 game series, there have been 5 times when teams overcame 0-3 deficits in games to win the series. Four have come in hockey:

How many 3-0 series comebacks have there been in the NHL? Full list of Stanley Cup playoff miracles | Sporting News.

Why hockey?

Goaltender get hot.

 

[donniesyracuse]

My theory.

There are more games in hockey where the crappier team that night wins as opposed to basketball.

In a 2-1 or 3-2 game there is a lot of puck luck in terms of determining who wins a game (puck just goes off a buy to win).. and sometimes just a hot goalie. In hockey a team that is up 3-0 in a series is sometimes not dominating as much as the NBA team that is up 3-0.

I know I posted this article somewhere before.

Part II: Rethinking our playoff philosophy (on the role of chance in the postseason) | Statsbylopez

The better team wins a best of 7 series 80% of the time in the NBA.

• In the NFL, a “best-of-11” series is needed to match the NBA’s better team advances rate.
• In the NHL, a “best-of-51” series is needed to match the NBA’s better team advances rate.
• And in MLB, an astounding “best-of-75” series is needed to match the NBA’s better team advances rate.

 

[OttoinGrotto]

Goaltender get hot.

That's my theory.

A goalie that morphs into a brick wall is a thing.

 

[OrangeXtreme]

Goaltender get hot.

You go to the box, you know. Two minutes, by yourself, you know and you feel shame, you know. And then you get free.

 

[STEVEHOLT]

It just comes down to reproducible events. In the nba, there are so many possessions and scores that the better teams advantage is magnified. Make a good pass , take a good shot … it’s going in.

In hockey , too many successful events are required to result in a score such that your advantage as a superior team is minimized. Additionally, the presence of a goaltender results in a disproportionate amount of power in one players possession. And that players ability seems to greatly vary game to game.

 

[Cusefan95]

I know I posted this article somewhere before.

Part II: Rethinking our playoff philosophy (on the role of chance in the postseason) | Statsbylopez

The better team wins a best of 7 series 80% of the time in the NBA.

• In the NFL, a “best-of-11” series is needed to match the NBA’s better team advances rate.
• In the NHL, a “best-of-51” series is needed to match the NBA’s better team advances rate.
• And in MLB, an astounding “best-of-75” series is needed to match the NBA’s better team advances rate.

I check out moneypuck to get an analytics view of games. Game 1 between the Rangers-Panthers, by metrics Florida had an 80% chance of winning. They lost the game. Last year Florida swept Carolina - but were outplayed according to analytics in every game.

Hockey has a lot of games where you play better and lose - I think baseball just has more inherent variability in outcomes.

 

[SWC75]

I check out moneypuck to get an analytics view of games. Game 1 between the Rangers-Panthers, by metrics Florida had an 80% chance of winning. They lost the game. Last year Florida swept Carolina - but were outplayed according to analytics in every game.

Hockey has a lot of games where you play better and lose - I think baseball just has more inherent variability in outcomes.

Baseball does things in rotation: you aren't going to have your best pitcher on the mound or your best batter at the plate all the time. You can't use your closer two nights in a row, (also multiple pitching changes). And there's virtually no contact between the teams. There isn't really 'defense'. There is pitching and fielding. It's hard to 'make' the other team lose.

 

[SWC75]

Florida won the first three games by 11-4. Edmonton has won the next three by 18-5.

I think it's going to happen again.

 

[Cusefan95]

Florida won the first three games by 11-4. Edmonton has won the next three by 18-5.

I think it's going to happen again.

Panthers trailed for less than 2 minutes total in the first three games. Last three they gave up the first goal every time and couldn’t quickly respond. When Florida get a lead, their forechecking helps grind the opponent down. Playing from behind, they can’t clog up the ice as well, and the Oilers are too skilled offensively for Florida.

I think whoever scores first Monday is winning the game - while they play very different styles, both teams can impose their style on the game once they have a lead.