Why Miami might win | Syracusefan.com

Why Miami might win

SWC75

Bored Historian
Joined
Aug 26, 2011
Messages
34,097
Like
65,917
- Look at the numbers below. The Canes have a passing game as prolific as our but which is more efficient. And they are clearly superior in every other aspect of the game.

- They have a shot at the ACC title game and the national championship playoff. We are hoping for a warm weather bowl and have a bunch of guys already thinking about opting out of it playing in a 42,000 seat arena we can’t even fill.

- Cam Ward is after a Heisman. Kyle McCord has no shot.

- I watched Brady vs. Manning for years and the winner was inevitably the team that put the most pressure on the other quarterback. We have 24 sacks and 55 TFLs. They have 32 and 73.

- This won’t be a battle of field goals but a field goal could make the difference. We are 12 for 20, including 3/9 from 40+ and a high of 44. They were 16/17, 7 of 8 and 56. Guess who’s going to win that one.

- They think “The U” is back. They might be right.



Stats that favor U of Miami (37):
SCORING OFFENSE SU- 31.73 UM – 44.73
TOTAL OFFENSIVE YARDS SU- 454.00 UM – 541.50
OFFENSIVE FIRST DOWNS SU- 25.80 UM – 27.45
OFFENSIVE RUSHING YARDS SU- 92.45 UM – 181.30
OFFENSIVE AVERAGE ON RUNNING PLAYS (- sacks) SU- 3.81 UM – 6.26
OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER COMPLETION SU- 11.59 UM – 13.85
OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER ATTEMPT SU- 7.53 UM – 9.43
OFFENSIVE PASSING EFFICIENCY SU- 139.94 UM – 172.29
OFFENSIVE COMPLETION PERCENTAGE SU- 64.96 UM – 68.10
OFFENSIVE 3RD AND 4TH DOWN PERCENTAGE SU- 51.22 UM – 57.52
OFFENSIVE RED ZONE POINTS (extra points assumed) SU- 265/51 = 5.20 UM – 310/55 = 5.64
TACKLES FOR A LOSS ALLOWED SU- 62 UM - 42
BLOCKED KICKS ALLOWED SU- 5 UM - 0
SCORING DEFENSE SU- 27.82 UM – 22.30
TOTAL DEFENSIVE YARDS SU- 357.50 UM – 305.40
DEFENSIVE FIRST DOWNS SU- 18.73 UM – 17.18
DEFENSIVE RUSHING YARDS SU- 153.60 UM – 111.10
DEFENSIVE AVERAGE ON RUNNING PLAYS (- SACKS) SU – 6.12 UM– 4.88
DEFENSIVE PASSING YARDS SU- 203.91 UM – 194.27
DEFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER ATTEMPT SU- 6.88 UM – 6.21
DEFENSIVE PASSING EFFICIENCY SU- 134.21 UM – 115.21
DEFENSIVE COMPLETION PERCENTAGE SU- 64.72 UM – 55.81
DEFENSIVE RED ZONE POINTS SU- 184/36 = 5.11 UM – 144/31 = 4.65
SACKS SU- 24 UM - 32
TACKLES FOR A LOSS SU- 55 UM – 73
BLOCKED KICKS SU - 0 UM - 1
DEFENSIVE TOUCHDOWNS SU - 1 UM– 2
KICKOFF RETURNS SU- 19.47 UM – 23.32
OPPONENT KICKOFFS THAT WERE RETURNED SU- 17/57 = 29.82% UM – 22/50 = 44.00%
OPPONENT PUNT RETURNS SU- 8.69 UM – 8.22
FIELD GOAL PERCENTAGE SU- 12/20 = 60.00% UM – 16/17 = 94.10%
LONGEST FG SU- 44 UM - 56
40 YARDS + SU- 3/9 = 33.33% UM – 7/8 = 87.50%
EXTRA POINTS MISSED SU- 2 UM – 0
TURNOVER MARGIN SU- 14/13 = -1 UM – 12/17 = +5
PENALTIES SU- 7.36/62.09 UM – 6.45/67.55
STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE SU- #63 UM - #24
(Which is interesting as we’ve played three teams that were ranked at the time we played them – and beaten two of them. Miami has yet to play a ranked team. UNLV is still ranked. Georgia Tech is not but they just beat Miami. Pitt, the team that embarrassed us, has since embarrassed themselves, losing 4 in a row.)

The Canes are the country’s high scoring team and they gain the most yards. We never scored as much as they average in any game, (we did get 44 points against UNLV in over time). We pass for as many yards but run for half as many. Their running plays got farther than ours and so do their passing plays. One our biggest strengths is 3rd and 4th down conversions. It’s how we hold onto the ball. The Canes do that better than we do. They also score better in the red zone. They are better on defense against the run and the pass. They get more sacks and TFLs. They are better defending the red zone. They return kickoffs better and more of them. And, of course, they kick field goals much better than we do. They are +5 in turnovers, commit fewer penalties and, per the source I’ve been using all season, have played a much tougher schedule, (although I don’t know why). I also don’t know how we can beat this team, at least based on the numbers.
 
I'm curious if one of these teams will put together a whole game today. I Don't like that people are predicting SU because I think it's because they think Miami will finally put out a clunker.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
170,707
Messages
4,906,413
Members
6,006
Latest member
MikeBoum

Online statistics

Members online
270
Guests online
1,758
Total visitors
2,028


...
Top Bottom