Why Notre Dame Will Win | Syracusefan.com

Why Notre Dame Will Win

SWC75

Bored Historian
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- Because they are Notre Dame and we are just Syracuse:
We are 3-7 all-time against the Irish and were 0-4 against Brian Kelly’s teams, losing by an average of 22 ½ points, (the worst being 3-36 and that was our 2018 team). Brian Kelly is no longer coaching the team but this a Brian Kelly roster. It’s full of guys we wish we had. The talent level is closer to Clemson’s than it is to ours. The fact that they have had a frustrating season doesn’t mean we won’t get the full force of Notre Dame’s talent tomorrow. Sure, Marshall and Stanford beat them but they didn’t score any points for us. If we are the better team, we’re going to have to go out there and prove it.

- Notre Dame’s two worst performances have been at home, their two best, (a competitive game vs. Ohio State and a 45-32 defeat of UNC for their only loss) have been on the road.

- We keep pining for throws to the tight end, (Gadsden is really a fourth wide-out), We’ll Notre Dame has the best tight end in the country in Michael Meyers…er Mayer. 6-4 265 with 44 catches for 526 yards and 6TDs. Gadsden has 37/593/5, so Mayer is Gadsden +50 more pounds to tackle. Mayer: “I don’t think anybody in the country can cover me one on one.” He will be a force in this game.

- The failure to get the ball to Sean Tucker, (and in a space where he can do something with it), “has been addressed”, according to Dino Babers. Notre Dame has addressed it, too. Sean is averaging 5.4 yards per carry, (thank you, Wagner). Notre Dame has the estimable Audric Estime, (5.5), Logan Diggs (4.6), and Chris Tyree (4.3). Tyree had a 96 yard kickoff return against Wisconsin last year. Of course we have LaQuint Allen, (8.6) but take away that 90 yarder where he got caught, (by Wagner) and it’s 3.2.

- I took a dive into the stats to see how we compared to big, bad Notre Dame.

SCORING OFFENSE SU- 34 ND- 27
TOTAL OFFENSIVE YARDS SU- 412 ND-386
OFFENSIVE RUSHING YARDS SU- 179 ND- 178
OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS SU- 232 ND- 208
OFFENSIVE PASSING EFFICIENCY SU- 163 ND- 139
OFFENSIVE 3RD AND 4TH DOWN PERCENTAGE SU- 44 ND- 42
OFFENSIVE RED ZONE POINTS SU- 141in30 = 4.7 ND- 114in26 = 4.4
SACKS ALLOWED SU- 18 ND- 10
TACKLES FOR A LOSS ALLOWED SU- 35 ND- 26

SCORING DEFENSE SU- 15 ND- 22
TOTAL DEFENSIVE YARDS SU- 295 ND- 341
DEFENSIVE RUSHING YARDS SU- 123 ND- 139
(We went from 95 rushing yards allowed per game to 123. Clemson gained 34% of the rushing yards we have surrendered.)
DEFENSIVE PASSING YARDS SU- 174 ND- 202
DEFENSIVE PASSING EFFICIENCY SU- 116 ND- 131
DEFENSIVE THIRD AND FOURTH DOWN PERCENTAGE SU- 38 ND-35
DEFENSIVE RED ZONE POINTS SU- 60in16 = 3.8 ND- 93in17 = 5.5
SACKS SU- 18 ND- 20
TACKLES FOR A LOSS SU- 44 ND- 41

KICKOFF RETURNS SU- 27 ND- 16
OPPONENT KICKOFF RETURNS SU- 22 ND- 18
KICKOFFS THAT WERE RETURNED SU- 17/47 = 36% ND- 7/38 = 18%
PUNT RETURNS SU- 6 ND- 10
OPPONENT PUNT RETURNS SU-7 ND- 10
PUNTS RETURNED SU- 8/31 = 26% ND- 6/29 = 21%
NET PUNTING SU- 37 ND- 42
FIELD GOAL PERCENTAGE SU- 11/12 = 91.7 ND- 8/10 = 80%
LONGEST FG SU- 50 ND- 47
40 YARDS + SU- 2/3 ND- 4/6
EXTRA POINTS MISSED SU- 0 ND- 0

TURNOVER MARGIN SU- +6 ND- -6
PENALTIES SU- 67/510yds ND- 30/267yds
STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE SU- #37 ND #32
COMMON OPPONENTS None

I looked at that and there is what it tells me that seems to be in Notre Dame’s favor:
- They’ve got a better offensive line, giving up 10 sacks and 26TFLs to our 18 and 35. Sending the house at the ND QB may not work in this game.
- They are a little better on 3rd and 4th down on defense.
- They return punts better and defend kick-off returns better. They also put the ball in the end zone more often and have had fewer punts returned.
- We are the most penalized team in the country. ND has less than half as many.
- Their strength of schedule is a little better.

- Going into the season, we hoped to go 6-6 and get to a minor bowl. That would be progress. We’ve paddled into the deep end of the pool. Will we drown?
 

goofnoff

2nd String
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Sep 16, 2018
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Well, there's the spirit!
Hey, I'm hoping they pass with flying colors. I love the heart this team has shown. I rate Schrader the third or fourth best SU QB I've seen since 1958. But this is the kind of game where you get measured.
 

OrangeTarheel

It’s time to kick names and take ass
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Hey, I'm hoping they pass with flying colors. I love the heart this team has shown. I rate Schrader the third or fourth best SU QB I've seen since 1958. But this is the kind of game where you get measured.
If Notre Dame thinks we stink then a close game in the second half is to our advantage. Discouraging to be in a close game against an “inferior” team. Maybe it’s the final measurement on the Notre Dame season?
 

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