Why Syracuse will win | Syracusefan.com

Why Syracuse will win

SWC75

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- Drake Maye’s numbers this year are a bit different than last year. Through four games he’s got 5TD passes and 4 interceptions. He’s going to have a hard time getting to 38 and 7 this year. His Heisman campaign may have sprung a leak.

- Omarion Hampton: 383 (5.2) 7TDs with 5 catches for 53 yards and no scores, is a fine running back but so is LeQuint Allen: 383 (4.8) and 6TDs with 17 catches for 173 yards and a score. We run for more yards than they do.

- I can’t believe that our receivers are going to continue to drop passes at the rate they are.

- Getting Ellis and More, (presumably) back will strengthen our offensive line.

- As pointed out below, their defense may be improved but ours is still better. And it may get even better as some of the highly-rated transfers get into the mix. Jayden Bellamy from Notre Dame and Myles Farmer and Jaeden Gould from Nebraska played last week, replacing ineffective starters. Can Jalil Martin be far behind?

- Dino Babers has challenged his best players to play well in this game but publicly expressing shock that so many good players, (I’m glad we have many good players), played poorly. The team found out they could compete against top teams against Clemson. They’ve just got to avoid mistakes and take advantage of their opportunities. They are going to do that tomorrow.

Stats that favor Syracuse:
SCORING OFFENSE SU- 38.2 NC- 35.8
OFFENSIVE FIRST DOWNS SU- 122 NC - 96
OFFENSIVE RUSHING YARDS SU- 190.6 NC – 167.2
OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER COMPLETION SU- 13.2 NC – 12.4
BLOCKED KICKS ALLOWED SU- 0 NC – 2
SCORING DEFENSE SU- 14.8 NC- 22.0
TOTAL DEFENSIVE YARDS SU- 297.2 NC – 363
DEFENSIVE RUSHING YARDS SU- 96.4 NC – 124.2
DEFENSIVE PASSING YARDS SU- 200.8 NC – 238.8
DEFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER COMPLETION SU- 9.7 NC- 11.8
DEFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER ATTEMPT SU- 5.9 NC- 6.6
DEFENSIVE COMPLETION PERCENTAGE SU- 55.9 NC- 60.2
DEFENSIVE RED ZONE POINTS SU- 45/13 = 3.5 NC – 65/15 = 4.3
SACKS SU- 16 NC - 12
TACKLES FOR A LOSS SU- 41 NC - 26
DEFENSIVE TOUCHDOWNS SU- 2 NC - 0
OPPONENT KICKOFF RETURNS SU- 12.0 NC – 34.0
KICKOFFS THAT WERE RETURNED SU- 1/33 = 0.03% NC - 6/26 = 23.1%
OPPONENT PUNT RETURNS SU- 2.7 NC – 4.3
PUNTS RETURNED SU- 17/29 = 58.6% NC- 2/11 = 18.2%
NET PUNTING SU- 45.0 NC – 36.0

We keep hearing about how potent the Tar Heel offense is but we gain the same number of yards and score more. They have a better 3rd or 4th down percentage but we have more first downs by a good margin: go figure. We rush for more yards and go deeper. They’ve had a punt and placekick blocked. UNC’s defense is improved over the last two years when they gave up 31 and 34 points per game. But they still aren’t as good as we are, by basically every measure. The Heels can return kicks but kicks can be returned against them too. We don’t allow kickoff returns and cover punts very well. We have returned far more punts and are much better at punting the ball – and covering those punts. We are gaining an average of 9 yards an exchange.

4-1 and 7 – or 8 – to go!

LET’S GO ORANGE!!!


Other stats that were about even:
TOTAL OFFENSIVE YARDS SU- 462.4 NC - 464
OFFENSIVE PASSING EFFICIENCY SU- 152.5 NC – 154.7
DEFENSIVE FIRST DOWNS SU- 89 NC - 87
DEFENSIVE PASSING EFFICIENCY SU- 110.25 NC – 108.84
DEFENSIVE 3RD AND 4TH FOURTH DOWN PERCENTAGE SU- 35.1 NC – 35.5
BLOCKED KICKS SU -0 NC - 0
OPPONENT KICKOFFS THAT WERE RETURNED SU- 6/16 = 37.5% NC – 6/18 = 33.3%
OPPONENT PUNTS RETURNED SU- 3/17 = 17.6% NC- 3/16 = 18.8%
FIELD GOAL PERCENTAGE SU- 6/8 = 75.0% NC – 6/7 = 85.7%
LONGEST FG SU- 46 NC - 48
TURNOVER MARGIN SU- +1 NC - Even
STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE SU- #38 NC - #33
COMMON OPPONENTS: None

By playing Clemson, our SOS improved from #76 to #38. UNC is #33 while Clemson is now #6. 38 vs. 33 means that the even stats are truly about even and thus will not be decisive in the game if form holds.
 
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Man after reading this I just went from we have no chance to “well damn we might actually have a chance”
 

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