Why Syracuse Will Win | Syracusefan.com

Why Syracuse Will Win

SWC75

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- Garrett Shrader made a comment that I’ve heard often in football, (mostly from coaches), “We’ve gotta find out who we are.” Dontcha just hate it when you’re in your stance, you know the play and what you’re supposed to do, you know who you are playing and their tendencies, you know the down, the yard line and the distance, where the game is being played, the score and your won-lost record but….you wonder, “Who am I?” Maybe Petula Clark can help:


- Where are the holes in the death star? Well, we could have the Seminoles right where we want them. Since our 2017 victory over Clemson, we haven’t been able to sneak up on anybody. Even the 2020 team was semi-competitive through most of the game. Right now FSU has no reason to think we will give them a game, just as the Tigers didn’t in 2017. One pundit suggested they should not play 6-7 receiver Johnny Wilson, who may have an injury and make him their “break glass in case of emergency” receiver in case they need a big play in the fourth quarter.

- It’s tough to surprise people on the road but we’ve done it 17 times. Some memorable ones: 1956 26-12 over #6 Maryland

FOOTBALL SYACUSE 1956

1959 20-18 over #7 Penn State and 36-8 over UCLA
1967 32-14 over #4 UCLA, (our highest ranked road victim)
1992 20-17 over #24 West Virginia
1995 20-9 over #20 North Carolina
1998 38-28 over #13 Michigan
2001 24-13 over #18 Virginia Tech
2004 43-17 over #17 Boston College
2007 38-35 over #18 Louisville
It could happen again.

- Is Florida State over-rated? Boston College almost beat them. Clemson should have beaten them. The Virginia Tech game was 17-17 after the first quarter.

- They couldn’t get their running game going until Virginia Tech. Is that because they were playing Virginia Tech?

- Is their defense that good? We have more sacks and more TFLs. (So much for Jared verse.) We’ve given up fewer points. They give up more rushing yards. And the opposition has gained 13 yards per completion to our 10.6. They’ve also been a little leaky defending kickoffs. Maybe we can score on these guys.

- Garrett Shrader’s coming out party was in Tallahassee two years ago. Maybe he can have a big game again. And maybe our receivers will decide to catch the ball.

- Hey! They commit penalties at the same rate we do. (Of course is the game gets close it will be interesting to see if the two loss team or the undefeated team gets the calls).

- Are our guys bruised up and downbeaten or are they mad at the way they performed against UNC and determined to do something about it. We’ll find out at Noon tomorrow.

Stats that favor Syracuse:
OFFENSIVE FIRST DOWNS SU- 133 FS - 105
OFFENSIVE 3RD AND 4TH DOWN PERCENTAGE SU- 48.3 FS - 44.3
(Note: Florida State is 23/60 (38.33%) on third down but 8/10 on fourth down.)
SCORING DEFENSE SU- 19.0 FS – 21.4
TOTAL DEFENSIVE YARDS SU- 355.0 FS – 383.2
DEFENSIVE RUSHING YARDS SU- 114.0 FS – 144.8
DEFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER COMPLETION SU- 10.63 FS- 12.96
DEFENSIVE PASSING EFFICIENCY SU- 122.07 FS – 115.31
SACKS SU- 18 FS - 13
TACKLES FOR A LOSS SU- 47 FS - 30
BLOCKED KICKS SU -1 FS - 0
OPPONENT KICKOFF RETURNS SU- 12.0 FS – 23.2
KICKOFFS THAT WERE RETURNED SU- 1/35 = 0.03% FS - 6/26 = 23.1%
OPPONENT KICKOFFS THAT WERE RETURNED SU- 6/25 = 24.0% FS – 16/18 = 33.3%
OPPONENT PUNT RETURNS SU- 3.25 FS – 6.50
PUNTS RETURNED SU- 18/30 = 60.0% FS- 9/24 = 37.5%
Comments: All of these numbers have to be interpreted while considering that Florida State had played 5 games with a #6 strength of schedule and we have played 6 teams with a #31 strength of schedule. Just considering the 6 and 5, the first downs hold up (133-126), as do the sacks (18-16), TFLs, (47-36) and punts returned (18-13). Despite Jared Verse, they don’t seem to have much of a pass rush.

4-2 and 6 – or 7 – to go!

LET’S GO ORANGE!!!
 
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