Why Syracuse will win | Syracusefan.com

Why Syracuse will win

SWC75

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Why Syracuse will win

- The scales are about to fall from our eyes (Acts 9:18) and we are about to be baptized with a win that will show us the truth: that we are, in fact, any good!

- We’re going to run the ball down their throats and make those Hokies like it! The LeQuint Allen we saw against Florida State will be joined with the Garret Shrader of the Purdue game. We need to win now and there’s no point in holding things back to stay healthy. We need to use all our weapons.

- Our receivers will finally get their act together and find ways to get open – in bounds - and to catch balls that hit them in the hands.

- Rocky Long will figure out a way to pressure the Tech offense but also not get burned deep. Justin Barron’s hand will be available to him. They have 22 sacks and 58.5 tackles for a loss but we have 20 and 51 of our own.

- We’re due to get a big return on a punt or kickoff, (remember Jamel Riddle in ’01?) and to block a kick and actually wind up with the ball.

- We’re good and we’re going to prove it. We are tied of losing and the Hokies are going to pay for it!


4-3 and 5 – or 6 – to go!

LET’S GO ORANGE!!!



Stats that favor Syracuse:
SCORING OFFENSE SU- 28.71 VT – 24.43
OFFENSIVE FIRST DOWNS SU- 145 VT - 136
TOTAL OFFENSIVE YARDS SU- 399.1 VT – 359.9
OFFENSIVE RUSHING YARDS SU- 167.02 VT – 140.3
OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS SU- 232.14 VT – 219.57
OFFENSIVE 3RD AND 4TH DOWN PERCENTAGE SU- 45.4 VT – 35.7
SCORING DEFENSE SU- 22.14 VT – 24.71
DEFENSIVE RUSHING YARDS SU- 125.0 VT – 172.1
DEFENSIVE RED ZONE POINTS SU- 88/24 = 3.7 VT – 92/16 = 5.75
BLOCKED KICKS SU -2 VT - 0
DEFENSIVE TOUCHDOWNS SU- 2 VT - 0
OPPONENT KICKOFF RETURNS SU- 12.0 VT – 28.00
KICKOFFS THAT WERE RETURNED SU- 1/39 = 0.03% VT - 7/37 = 18.91%
PUNTS RETURNED SU- 19/34 = 55.8% VT- 7/37 = 18.9%
LONGEST FG SU- 46 VT - 41
STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE SU- #41 VT - #56
(Everybody has their own system for this: I used this page as a source: NCAA College Football Strength of Schedule Rankings & Ratings
We were #31 going into a game against the #4 ranked team and now we’re #41. We had a bye week but what would that have to do with it?!?)
COMMON OPPONENTS: We beat Purdue 35-21 and lost to Florida State 3-41. They lost to Purdue 17-24 and Florida State 17-39. We ran for 395 yards in these two games and passed for 321 for a total of 716 yards. We were +2 in turnovers and were out-scored 38-62. The Hokies rushed for 230 yards and passed for 379 for a total of 609. They had the only 3 turnovers in the two games and were out-scored 34-63. Their opposition ran for 461 yards and passed for 418 for a total of 879. We were 1-1 to their 0-2 but the points were similar. It looks like we should be able to move the ball on them, especially on the ground.

Comments: What statistical advantages we have are the remnants of our weak early schedule. We still average more points per game from teach but our output has gone down every game until we’ve virtually hit bottom with 3 points in our last game. But the numbers say we rush and pass for more yards than the Hokies, get more first downs and score more points. (I’d settle for that last one.) We’re better getting third and fourth downs. We have a significantly better rushing defense, which may be why we’re better defending the red zone. We’ve blocked a couple of kicks, (although the result didn’t always favor us.) We’re better at getting kickoff touchbacks, (amazingly so), and return more punts, (but for less yards).
 
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Other stats that were about even:
OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER COMPLETION SU- 12.4 VT – 12.8
OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER ATTEMPT SU- 7.6 VT – 7.2
OFFENSIVE PASSING EFFICIENCY SU- 134.79 VT – 131.80
OFFENSIVE COMPLETION PERCENTAGE SU- 64.7 VT – 64.0
OFFENSIVE RED ZONE POINTS (extra points assumed) SU- 137/29= 4.7 VT – 121/27 = 4.5
SACKS ALLOWED SU- 18 VT - 16
TACKLES FOR A LOSS ALLOWED SU- 39 VT - 43
BLOCKED KICKS ALLOWED SU- 0 VT - 0
(I’m assuming blocked kicks are placekicks and added them to blocked punts)
DEFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER COMPLETION SU- 11.1 VT- 10.8
SACKS SU- 20 VT - 22
OPPONENT PUNTS RETURNED SU- 10/32 = 31.25% VT- 7/37 = 18.9%
NET PUNTING SU- 40.44 VT – 40.46
40 YARDS + (field goals) SU- 1/2 = 50.0% VT – 1/2 = 50.00%
TURNOVER MARGIN SU- Even VT - -1
PENALTIES SU- 49/455yds VT - 47/439yds

Comments: Again, these numbers were compiled under varied circumstances. We’ve played four bad teams and three good ones, nobody in between, (no, Clemson has troubles but is not ‘in between’). Va Tech has changed their quarterback and are supposedly a different team because of it. So I don’t really know what to make of ‘even’ numbers.
 

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