Why Syracuse will win | Syracusefan.com

Why Syracuse will win

SWC75

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- If we haven’t won in Pittsburgh since 2001, then we are due.

- We’ve played teams as good as Pitt- and beaten them. Pit hasn’t played anyone as good as us.

- The formula of dominating time of possession with a controlled passing game, converting 3rd and fourth downs and finishing off drives in the red zone has got us to 5-1: it could work again.

- We lost Pena but we have plenty of good receivers. This gives Justus Ross-Simmons and Emmauel Ross opportunities to show what they can do. I also want to see more of Darrell Gill. Those guys could give us another good slot guy but also the deep threat we need with Zeed Haynes not available.

- I assume this coaching staff is as concerned about our weaknesses as the fans are, likely a lot more. They have been analyzing them and working on them in practice. I have to think that the lapses in tacking, covering and blocking for kicks will fade as the season goes along.

- If the kickers can relax more we’ll see the kind of punting and place-kicking we are used to from a Syracuse.

- Coulda, shoulda, woulda: 31-14 vs. Georgia Tech becomes 31-28. 24-23 vs. Stanford becomes 24-26. What should have been 38-24 vs. UNLV becomes 38-38 and we win in OT. 34-7 vs. NC State becomes 24-14. Yest, we are a stronger team than our final scores would indicate. If those lapses can been fixed, we – and the rest of country - will see that we are.

- We got gamers: McCord, Meeks, Allen, Diggs. Those are guys who won’t let us lose.

5-1 and 6 + to go!

LET’S GO ORANGE!


Stats that favor Syracuse (10):
OFFENSIVE FIRST DOWNS SU- 26.83 Pitt– 24.00
OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS SU- 365.17 Pitt – 305.83
OFFENSIVE 3RD AND 4TH DOWN PERCENTAGE SU- 55.66 Pitt – 43.90
DEFENSIVE FIRST DOWNS SU- 18.67 Pitt – 20.33
DEFENSIVE PASSING YARDS SU- 229.17 Pitt – 244.67
DEFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER COMPLETION SU- 11.18 Pitt – 11.93
DEFENSIVE 3RD AND 4TH DOWN PERCENTAGE SU- 33.78 Pitt – 36.10
OPPONENT PUNTS RETURNED SU- 9/24 = 37.50% Pitt - 12/27 = 44.4%
PENALTIES SU- 6.50/53.33 Pitt – 6.67/65.83yds
TIME OF POSSESSION SU- 33.52 Pitt – 24.42

We, of course, pass for more yards. But we get more first downs and continue to be very good at converting third and fourth downs. Our passing attack does what is normally expected of a running attack: move the ball while chewing up the clock and keeping the other team’s offense off the field. Pitt’s TOP of 24.42 is surprisingly low and 9 minutes less than what SU is averaging.


Stats that were (relatively) even (10):
TOTAL DEFENSIVE YARDS SU- 356.70 Pitt – 353.20
OFFENSIVE COMPLETION PERCENTAGE SU- 65.16 Pitt – 63.47
OFFENSIVE RED ZONE POINTS (extra points assumed) SU- 155/31 = 5.00 Pitt – 145/25 = 5.80
SACKS ALLOWED SU- 13 Pitt – 14
TACKLES FOR A LOSS ALLOWED SU- 34 Pitt - 33
DEFENSIVE TOUCHDOWNS SU - 1 Pitt– 1
PUNTS RETURNED SU- 5/16 = 31.25% Pitt – 6/19 = 31.58%
EXTRA POINTS MISSED SU- 0 Pitt – 1 (try for 2)
TURNOVER MARGIN SU- 6/8 = +2 Pitt - 6/8 = +2
COMMON OPPONENTS: None

Both teams can move the ball and score and I think they both will. What concerns me the most is the kicking game.
 
Last edited:
- If we haven’t won in Pittsburgh since 2001, then we are due.

- We’ve played teams as good as Pitt- and beaten them. Pit hasn’t played anyone as good as us.

- The formula of dominating time of possession with a controlled passing game, converting 3rd and fourth downs and finishing off drives in the red zone has got us to 5-1: it could work again.

- We lost Pena but we have plenty of good receivers. This gives Justus Ross-Simmons and Emmauel Ross opportunities to show what they can do. I also want to see more of Darrell Gill. Those guys could give us another good slot guy but also the deep threat we need with Zeed Haynes not available.

- I assume this coaching staff is as concerned about our weaknesses as the fans are, likely a lot more. They have been analyzing them and working on them in practice. I have to think that the lapses in tacking, covering and blocking for kicks will fade as the season goes along.

- If the kickers can relax more we’ll see the kind of punting and place-kicking we are used to from a Syracuse.

- Coulda, shoulda, woulda: 31-14 vs. Georgia Tech becomes 31-28. 24-23 vs. Stanford becomes 24-26. What should have been 38-24 vs. UNLV becomes 38-38 and we win in OT. 34-7 vs. NC State becomes 24-14. Yest, we are a stronger team than our final scores would indicate. If those lapses can been fixed, we – and the rest of country - will see that we are.

- We got gamers: McCord, Meeks, Allen, Diggs. Those are guys who won’t let us lose.

5-1 and 6 + to go!

LET’S GO ORANGE!


Stats that favor Syracuse (11):
TOTAL OFFENSIVE YARDS SU- 469.50 Pitt – 481.33
OFFENSIVE FIRST DOWNS SU- 26.83 Pitt– 24.00
OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS SU- 365.17 Pitt – 305.83
OFFENSIVE 3RD AND 4TH DOWN PERCENTAGE SU- 55.66 Pitt – 43.90
DEFENSIVE FIRST DOWNS SU- 18.67 Pitt – 20.33
DEFENSIVE PASSING YARDS SU- 229.17 Pitt – 244.67
DEFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER COMPLETION SU- 11.18 Pitt – 11.93
DEFENSIVE 3RD AND 4TH DOWN PERCENTAGE SU- 33.78 Pitt – 36.10
OPPONENT PUNTS RETURNED SU- 9/24 = 37.50% Pitt - 12/27 = 44.4%
PENALTIES SU- 6.50/53.33 Pitt – 6.67/65.83yds
TIME OF POSSESSION SU- 33.52 Pitt – 24.42

We, of course, pass for more yards. But we get more first downs and continue to be very good at converting third and fourth downs. Our passing attack does what is normally expected of a running attack: move the ball while chewing up the clock and keeping the other team’s offense off the field. Pitt’s TOP of 24.42 is surprisingly low and 9 minutes less than what SU is averaging.


Stats that were (relatively) even (10):
TOTAL DEFENSIVE YARDS SU- 356.70 Pitt – 353.20
OFFENSIVE COMPLETION PERCENTAGE SU- 65.16 Pitt – 63.47
OFFENSIVE RED ZONE POINTS (extra points assumed) SU- 155/31 = 5.00 Pitt – 145/25 = 5.80
SACKS ALLOWED SU- 13 Pitt – 14
TACKLES FOR A LOSS ALLOWED SU- 34 Pitt - 33
DEFENSIVE TOUCHDOWNS SU - 1 Pitt– 1
PUNTS RETURNED SU- 5/16 = 31.25% Pitt – 6/19 = 31.58%
EXTRA POINTS MISSED SU- 0 Pitt – 1 (try for 2)
TURNOVER MARGIN SU- 6/8 = +2 Pitt - 6/8 = +2
COMMON OPPONENTS: None

Both teams can move the ball and score and I think they both will. What concerns me the most is the kicking game.
Total offensive yards SU-469 Pitt-481
I’m no math guy but how does that favor SU?
 
Because Coach Fran pulled the biggest trick of all...Pena and Wax WILL play!!
 

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