Why Syracuse Will Win | Syracusefan.com

Why Syracuse Will Win

SWC75

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- Because this isn’t 2013. We competed well with this team last year, losing 20-38 in the Dome. They got 482 yards and 29 first downs but we got 412 and 20. They aren’t as good this year and we are better. Why shouldn’t it be a close, winnable game?

- This isn’t even the Florida State team that started the season. They have six key players that are out and a quarterback who may be groggy. Heisman candidate running back Dalvin Cook is out as is back-up. Offensiver lineman Cole Minshew and Derrick Keely are out. Linebacker Terrance Smith and corner=back Marcus Lewis Lewis are out. Quarterback Everett Golston took a helmet-helmet hit last week but will play. Even at Florida State, such losses will be felt.

- The whole team might be groggy after the way they lost to Georgia Tech last week. After losing the kick-six game to Auburn two years ago, Alabama went through the motions in the Sugar Bowl and lost to Oklahoma, 31-45. It will be interesting to see how Michigan does at Minnesota tomorrow in their first game since their kick-6 loss to the Spartans.

- They aren’t thinking about us: they are thinking about Clemson.

- Look at their scores so far this year: They beat Texas State 59-16, (just like we beat Rhode Island 47-0). They beat USF 34-14 in a game that was 7-7 at the half. Cook rushed for 266 yards in that one. They beat BC 14-0 in a game where they gained only 217 yards. They beat Wake Forest 26-16, (we beat them 30-17). They beat mighty Miami 29-24. They beat Louisville 41-21 after being down 6-7 at halftime. Then came last week’s shocker loss to a 2-5 Georgia Tech team who had only been able to beat Alcorn State and Tulane. Take away the brand name, FLORIDA STATE. Are you impressed with that?

- We’ve played two ranked teams in LSU and Pittsburgh and lost 24-34 and 20-23. I don’t see Florida State as better than those teams, especially in their current circumstances.

- A team that’s given up only two turnovers all season is a team that’s due to give up some turnovers. So is Everett Golston, who became a turnover machine last year, starting with the Syracuse game. Two of his seven incompletions were complete to us and we also forced four fumbles and recovered three of them. We’ve onlyu7 grabbed 6 of the 15 fumbles we’ve forced this year, so that is due to turn around, as well.

- It’s time Dungey and the offense did more than just show potential. His escapability and ability to make plays on the run could neutralize State’s pass rush. I got this on Nunes Magician: “That said, the ‘Noles have been better against the run than the pass, despite featuring some fearsome pass rushers. This has been the case in large part because of injuries on defense. Safety Nate Andrews, linebacker Terrance Smith, and safety Trey Marshall (out for year) have all been banged up, leaving some serious holes in the middle of the field, to the point where the ‘Noles have played a 175-pound walk on a significant amount over the last two weeks. So while the Orange may have some issues up front with the ‘Noles, they may also be able to find some success against a secondary whose health is improving, but is still a bit hobbled.”

- Our defense sure looked better with Cordell Hudson and Juwan Dowells out there than Julian Whigham. If we can start playing some solid defense this season still has some potential.

- We need to start well. And we need to finish well. If we do that, I think the middle will take care of itself.


3-4 with 5 or 6 more…..

LET’S GO ORANGE!!!
 
If this game were in the Dome, I would be predicting a Cuse win. hard for me to do that with it being in Tallahassee but you have some fine points. You will probably have more fine points in your Why Syracuse Will Lose post. great job as always, SWC!
 
Great post. You do a nice job with these. I'm not sure we have much of a chance tomorrow but I'm more convinced we do after reading that.
 
Mean reversion.

At some point the 50/50 calls, the positive plays that we were 95% the way to executing, the negative plays that we were 95% the way to stopping, the fumbles the rolled the wrong way and the missed timed injuries are going to start to even out in our favor.

This would be a great time for those plays to swing back to our favor and if they do, I think we have enough to pull out a win.

EDIT: Also, we have probably had a 10-20% chance on average of beating the ranked teams we have played. I believe we are over due for our 1 out of 7 wins!
 
This was enough. I'm not reading your "Why FSU will win". :(;)
 
We're due for a What? win, onea these days.

Why not we? Why not now?
 

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