Winning Plays - Pittsburgh

[SWC75]

This season I will once again be charting Syracuse’s games in terms of “winning plays”. I look at the results of each play and decide which team got the minimum they wanted out of the play. Rather than making instinctive judgments, I use a formula:

- On first down, the offensive team wants to get at least a third of the way to a new first down: they will have two more plays before they might have to surrender the ball and if they gain that same amount of yards on each of those two plays, they’ll get the first down. If they don’t make it a third of the way to a new first down, the defense won the play.
- On second down, the offense wants to get at least halfway to a new first down by the same logic.
- On third and fourth down, they want to get the first down.
- Penalties, if added onto a play by the referees, are added on to the results above. If the offense gains 5 yards on first down but there was holding and they lost yardage instead, the defense won the play. If a running back made a 25 yard run on first and ten and the holding was 20 yards downfield, turning it into a 5 yard gain, that’s still a win for the offense. If the defense is penalized and it’s tacked on, again the net result is what is evaluated. The penalties I’ve listed negated the play entirely and are a “loss” for the penalized team and thus a win for their opponent.
- If a penalty was not tacked onto a play, it’s a lost play for the team being penalized. I'll count them separate from the other plays from scrimmage because I don't know if the intended play before the penalty would have been a run or a pass - so I wouldn't know where to put it in the chart below.
- A turnover is, obviously, a win for the team that wound up with the ball.
- On a kick-off a touchback brings the ball out to the 25 yard line. Teams still seem to be trying to kick the ball into the end zone and avoid a runback if they can, so any kick-off that results in the receiving team starting between their goal line and their 25 is a win for the kicking team. Beyond that, the receiving team wins.
- On a punt, a touchback takes the ball out of the 20. So any punt that results in the other team taking over from their goal line to their 20 is a win for the punting team. If the next change in field position is at least 40 yards, the punting team has also won the play.
- A successful place kick is, obviously, a win for the kicking team.
- Any play that results in a touchdown is, obviously, a win for that team that scores it.
- A “victory play” where a team accepts a loss just to let the clock run out, is a win for the offensive team.

I will indicate in parenthesis how many yards there were to go to get a new first down, (if other than 10), unless it was for no gain or negative yardage. If it was a touchdown, (“TD)” a scramble/sack (“S”) a victory play (“V”) or involved a penalty (P). I’ll treat a scramble or a sack as a passing play as the Cuse.com play by play now tells you when it’s either of those two. 1R means first down running plays. 1P means first down passing plays, etc.

I have decided to list the “Big Plays” at the bottom of each team’s summary. A big play is a play from scrimmage of over 20 yards, (or 20+ yards lost), kickoff returns of +25 yards, punt returns of +20, blocked kicks, missed kicks, and takeovers on fumbles, interceptions and downs.

When Syracuse had the ball:

Drive Starts: SU 25, SU 14, SU 25, SU 28, SU 20, SU 17, SU 48, SU 38, PY 34, SU 26, SU 35 = 342/11 = SU 31 with 758 yards to go (+112 yards advantage)

KO: PT 25, PT 25, PT 22, PT 25, PT 25
Total: Syracuse 5 Pittsburgh 0
P: 35 to PT 16, 14 to SU 46, 44 to PT 20, 38 to PT 44
Total: Syracuse 2 Pittsburgh 2
FG: No Good from 35
Total: Syracuse 0 Pittsburgh 1
XP: Good, Good, Good, Good
Total: Syracuse 4 Pittsburgh 0
Kicking plays total: Syracuse 11 Pittsburgh 3

1r: 34, 5, 6, 0, 1, 10, 11, 6, FUMBLE, 3, 12, 2, 2, 4, 4, -1, 4, 0, 12, 5, 1, 2, 2, 4, 5, 3, 4, 4, 6
Total: Syracuse 17 Pittsburgh 11
1p: I
Total: Syracuse 0 Pittsburgh 1
First Down Total: Syracuse 17 Pittsburgh 12
2r: 8(5), 5(4), 4, 0, 7(7), 0, 8(6), 5(6), 10, 3, 0, 27TD, 3(8), 12(6), 3(5), 7(13), 0(0), 4, 16(6), 1(4),
Total: Syracuse 13 Pittsburgh 6
2p: 5TD, 6(8), I, 2(11), I
Total: Syracuse 2 Pittsburgh 3
Second Down Total: Syracuse 15 Pittsburgh 9
3r: 12(11), 3(4), 1(2), 0, 0, 4(1), 5(7), 38(5), 12(5), 5(2), 4(6), 6(2), 1(1)
Total: Syracuse 8 Pittsburgh 5
3p: I, I, 4(6),
Total: Syracuse 0 Pittsburgh 3
Third Down Total: Syracuse 8 Pittsburgh 8
4r: 2(1), 21TD, 1(2), -2v (the clock went to 00:00 during the play)
Total: Syracuse 3 Pittsburgh 1
4p: none
Total: Syracuse 0 Pittsburgh 0
Fourth Down Total: Syracuse 3 Pittsburgh 1

Total on running plays: Syracuse 41 Pittsburgh 23
Total on passing plays: Syracuse 2 Pittsburgh 7
Total on plays from scrimmage: Syracuse 43 Pittsburgh 30

Penalties not tacked on to plays: -5, -5, +5, -5 Syracuse 1 Pittsburgh 3

Game total when Syracuse had the ball: Syracuse 55 Pittsburgh 36

Big Plays: 34 yar run, Fumble recovery, 21 yard TD run, 38 yards run, Pick 6, Fumble recovery, 27 yard TD run, Fumble recovery. (8)


When Pittsburgh had the ball:

Drive Starts: PT 25, SU 37, PT 16, SU 46, PT 20, PT 44, PT 25, PT 12, PT 1, PT 25, PT 25, PT 20 = 330/12 = PT 27.5 with 870 yards to go (-112 yards disadvantage)

KO: SU 25, SU 25, SU 25
Total: Syracuse 0 Pittsburgh 3
P: 47 to SU 13, 47 to SU 28, 17 to SU 20, 43 to SU 38, 44 to SU 26
Total: Syracuse 0 Pittsburgh 5
FG: Good from 35, Good from 33
Total: Syracuse 0 Pittsburgh 2
XP: Good
Total: Syracuse 0 Pittsburgh 1
Kicking plays total: Syracuse 0 Pittsburgh 11

1r: 8, -2, 6, -1, 9, 5, Fumble, 2, 5, Fumble 7
Total: Syracuse 5 Pittsburgh 6
1p: 9, I, 9, I, 65, I, I, I, I, 36
Total: Syracuse 6 Pittsburgh 4
First Down Total: Syracuse 11 Pittsburgh 10
2r: 1, 5(21), 3(4), 6(1), -1, 11(1), 4(5), 1, Fumble
Total: Syracuse 4 Pittsburgh 5
2p: I, 8(12), 6(11), 27, I, 7, Pick 6, 5
Total: Syracuse 3 Pittsburgh 5
Second Down Total: Syracuse 7 Pittsburgh 10
3r: 0
Total: Syracuse 0 Pittsburgh 1
3p: 5, 1(4), 0, I, 10TD, 9(5), I, 5(4), I
Total: Syracuse 5 Pittsburgh 4
Third Down Total: Syracuse 6 Pittsburgh 4
4r: 2(1)
Total: Syracuse 0 Pittsburgh 1
4p: none
Total: Syracuse 0 Pittsburgh 0
Fourth Down Total: Syracuse 0 Pittsburgh 1

Total on running plays: Syracuse 10 Pittsburgh 12
Total on passing plays: Syracuse 14 Pittsburgh 13
Total on plays from scrimmage: Syracuse 24 Pittsburgh 25

Penalties not tacked on to plays: -5, +5 Syracuse 1 Pittsburgh 1

Game total when Pittsburgh had the ball: Syracuse 25 Pittsburgh 38

Big Plays: Fumble recovery, 34 punt return, 65 yard pass, 27 yard pass, 36 yard pass (5)

Overall game total: Syracuse 80 Pittsburgh 73


Comments: Not only did we win 17 of 28 first down runs on offense but we HAD 28 first down runs. That’s what the opposition has been doing to us.

But it was turning around the turnover battle that really won us the game. We were 4-11, (we turned ti over 11 times to their 4) during the losing streak. It was 4-1 with a pick 6 in this game.

I hope we don’t give up passes of 34, 65 and 27 yards in our next game.

Jack Stonehouse is a fine punter but we aren’t always winning his punts. We are 17-9 on his punts in the last four games. We were 18-4 before that.

This was +7 game, (80 plays to 73). Here are the most similar games of the Babers Era:
2017 Syracuse 104 Middle Tennessee 98 = +6 We Lost 23-30
2017 Syracuse 107 Central Michigan 100 = +7 We won 41-17
2019 Syracuse 118 Wake Forest 111 = +7 We won 39-30
2020 Syracuse 108 Georgia Tech 102 = +6 We won 37-20
2021 Syracuse 86 Boston College 79 = +7 We won 21-6
2022 Syracuse 99 Purdue 92 = +7 We won 32-29
If we can win the plays, we can win the game.

 

[SWC75]

TOTALS FOR THE YEAR

When SYRACUSE had the ball:

Drive Starts:
564/14 = SU 40 with 836 yards to go (+365)
301/12 = SU 25 with 899 yards to go (-15)
326/12 = SU 27 with 874 yards to go (-99)
443/12 = SU 37 with 757 yards to go (+77)
347/14 = SU 24 with 1,054 yards to go (-213)
268/11 = SU 24 with 832 yards to go (-133)
300/14 = SU 21 with 1,100 yards to go (-189)
295/12 = SU 25 with 905 yards to go (-87)
408/12 = SU 34 with 792 yards to go (+48)
342/11 = SU 31 with 758 yards to go (+112)
3,594/124 = SU 29 with 8,807 yards to go (-134)

KO: 11-0 + 6-1 + 6-0 + 6-1 + 3-0 + 2-0 + 2-0 + 3-0 + 2-1 + 5-0 = 46-3
P: 1-0 + 4-0 + 1-2 + 3-0 + 4-1 + 5-1 + 5-3 + 6-3 + 4-1 + 2-2 = 35-13
FG: 1-0 + 2-0 + 0-1 + 3-0 + 0-1 + 0-0 + 1-1 + 1-0 + 1-1 + 0-1 = 9-5
XP: 8-1 + 6-0 + 5-0 + 2-1 + 2-0 + 1-0 + 0-0 + 1-0 + 1-0 + 4-0 = 30-2
Kicking plays total: 21-1 + 18-1 + 12-3 + 14-2 + 9-2 + 8-1 + 7-4 + 11-3 + 8-3 + 11-3 = 120-23

1r: 14-14 + 7-11 + 12-9 + 10-7 + 4-7 + 7-6 + 6-11 + 4-8 + 6-8 + 17-11 = 87-92
1p: 11-3 + 7-9 + 4-9 + 9-2 + 2-12 + 5-4 + 3-6 + 3-5 + 3-6 + 0-1 = 47-57
First Down Total: 25-17 + 14-20 + 16-18 + 19-9 + 6-19 + 12-10 + 9-17 + 7-13 + 9-14 + 17-12 = 134-149
2r: 12-5 + 8-3 + 5-4 + 10-6 + 8-4 + 5-2 + 6-6 + 2-2 + 4-5 + 13-6 = 73-43
2p: 7-5 + 5-9 + 7-6 + 3-2 + 7-3 + 6-6 + 1-8 + 5-5 + 3-4 + 2-3 = 46-51
Second Down Total: 19-10 + 13-12 + 12-10 + 13-8 + 15-7 + 11-8 + 7-14 + 7-7 + 7-9 + 15-9 = 119-94
3r: 4-2 + 2-1 + 5-0 + 0-4 + 6-2 + 2-3 + 2-2 + 0-1 + 3-3 + 8-5 = 32-23
3p: 7-4 + 5-5 + 2-5 + 3-4 + 3-6 + 2-3 + 4-13 + 0-8 + 0-3 + 0-3 = 26-54
Third Down Total: 11-6 + 7-6 + 7-5 + 3-8 + 9-8 + 4-6 + 6-15 + 0-9 + 3-6 + 8-8 = 58-77
4r: 0-1 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 0-1 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 1-0 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 3-1 = 4-3
4p: 0-0 + 0-0 + 0-1 + 1-0 + 0-1 + 0-0 + 0-1 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 0-0 = 1-3
Fourth Down Total: 0-1 + 0-0 + 0-1 + 1-1 + 0-1 + 0-0 + 0-1 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 3-1 = 4-6

Total on running plays: 30-22 + 17-15 + 22-13 + 20-18 + 18-13 + 14-11 + 15-19 + 6-11 + 13-16 + 41-23 = 196-161
Total on passing plays: 25-12 + 17-23 + 13-21 + 16-8 + 12-22 + 13-13 + 8-28 + 8-18 + 6-13 + 2-7 = 120-165
Total on plays from scrimmage: 55-34 + 34-38 + 35-34 + 36-26 + 30-34 + 27-24 + 23-47 + 14-29 + 19-29 + 43-30 = 316-326

Penalties not tacked on to plays: 0-2 + 4-4 + 6-1 + 0-2 + 3-2 + 0-4 + 0-2 + 0-4 + 1-6 + 1-3 = 15-30

Game total when SYRACUSE had the ball: 76-37 + 56-43 + 53-38 + 50-30 + 42-38 + 35-29 + 31-53 + 25-36 + 28-38 + 55-36 = 451-378

Big Plays: 12 + 8 + 13 + 8 + 5 + 3 + 7 + 2 + 5 + 8 = 71


When OPPONENT had the ball:

Drive Starts:
399/16 = Colgate 25 with 1,201 yards to go
316/12 = W Michigan 26 with 884 yards to go
325/11 = Purdue 30 with 775 yards to go
266/11 = Army 24 with 834 yards to go
560/14 = Clemson 40 with 840 yards to go
301/10 = North Carolina 30 with 699 yards to go
489/14 = Florida State 35 with 911 yards to go
382/12 = Virginia Tech 32 with 818 yards to go
360/12 = Boston College 30 with 840 yards to go
330/12 = Pittsburgh 27.5 with 870 yards to go
3,728/124 = Opposition 30 with 8,672 yards to go

KO: 0-1 + 2-0 + 0-4 + 1-3 + 0-6 + 0-8 + 0-8 + 0-8 + 1-3 + 0-3 = 4-44
P: 3-6 + 1-5 + 0-2 + 2-3 + 1-5 + 0-1 + 0-4 + 1-2 + 3-2 + 0-5 = 11-35
FG: 0-0 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 0-1 + 1-1 + 0-4 + 0-2 + 0-5 + 0-1 + 0-2 = 1-16
XP: 0-0 + 0-1 + 0-3 + 1-1 + 0-4 + 0-4 + 0-5 + 0-3 + 0-2 + 0-1 = 1-24
Kicking plays total: 3-7 + 3-6 + 0-9 + 4-8 + 2-16 + 0-17 + 0-19 + 1-18 + 4-8 + 0-11 = 17-119

1r: 14-6 + 13-1 + 9-9 + 7-7 + 9-9 + 7-7 + 5-12 + 7-16 + 10-10 + 56 = 86-83
1p: 1-1 + 6-5 + 9-11 + 8-3 + 6-6 + 10-20 + 5-9 + 10-3 + 8-10 + 6-4 = 69-72
First Down Total: 15-7 + 19-6 + 18-20 + 15-10 + 15-15 + 17-27 + 10-21 + 17-19 + 18-20 + 11-10 = 155-155
2r: 3-3 + 2-4 + 3-4 + 4-8 + 3-7 + 4-14 + 2-6 + 8-13 + 5-11 + 4-5 = 38-75
2p: 9-3 + 9-10 + 8-9 + 5-4 + 9-5 + 8-6 + 9-5 + 1-4 + 9-6 + 3-5 = 70-57
Second Down Total: 12-6 + 11-14 + 11-13 + 9-12 + 12-12 + 12-20 + 11-11 + 9-17 + 14-17 + 7-10 = 108-132
3r: 4-2 + 2-1 + 3-1 + 4-8 + 1-4 + 4-6 + 1-5 + 2-6 + 5-10 + 1-0 = 27-43
3p: 9-1 + 11-5 + 4-3 + 2-3 + 5-6 + 4-5 + 4-7 + 5-3 + 5-0 + 5-4 = 54-37
Third Down Total: 13-3 + 13-6 + 7-4 + 6-11 + 6-10 + 8-11 + 5-12 + 7-9 + 10-10 + 6-4 = 81-80
4r: 0-0 + 0-0 + 1-0 + 0-3 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 1-0 + 0-0 + 1-3 + 0-1 = 3-7
4p: 1-0 + 4-1 + 2-1 + 1-0 + 1-0 + 1-0 + 1-0 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 0-0 = 11-2
Fourth Down Total: 1-0 + 4-1 + 3-1 + 1-3 + 1-0 + 1-0 + 2-0 + 0-0 + 1-3 + 0-1 = 14-9

Total on running plays: 21-11 + 17-6 + 16-14 + 15-26 + 13-20 + 15-27 + 9-23 + 17-35 + 21-34 + 10-12 = 154-208
Total on passing plays: 20-5 + 30-21 + 23-24 + 16-10 + 21-17 + 23-31 + 19-21 + 16-10 + 22-16 + 14-13 = 204-168
Total on plays from scrimmage: 41-16 + 47-27 + 39-38 + 31-36 + 34-37 + 38-58 + 28-44 + 43-50 + 24-25 = 358-376

Penalties not tacked on to plays: 6-2 + 3-0 + 4-3 + 2-0 + 3-4 + 3-2 + 2-0 + 2-2 + 0-1 + 1-1 = 26-15

Game total when OPPONENT had the ball: 50-25 + 53-33 + 43-50 + 37-44 + 39-57 + 41-77 + 30-63 + 36-65 + 47-59 + 25-37 = 401-510

Big Plays: 4 + 3 + 7 + 4 + 8 + 7 + 8 + 6 + 6 + 4 = 57

Overall Game Totals:
126-62 + 109-76 + 96-88 + 87-74 + 81-95 + 76-106 + 61-116 + 61-101 + 75-97 + 80-73 = 852-888


Comments:

We’ve kicked the ball 143 times and got what we wanted out of it 120 times, (84%). Our opposition has kicked the ball just 136 times and got what they wanted 119 times, (87.5%). Our advantage is gone. Our advantage in field position has become a deficit, (8,807 yards to go vs. 8,672).

Go figure: we are 82-92 on first down runs on offense but 73-43 on second down runs. Defensively we are 86-83 on first down runs but 38-75 on second down runs. I guess defenses are more ready for first down runs and have to think about the pass more on second down.

We’re also pretty good at stopping third and fourth down passes, 65-39. Those are two very good downs to dominate. But we are 30-50 against the run on those downs.

We’re still ahead +14 on ‘big’ plays but we’re playing games where they don’t seem to matter as the other team is dominating with incremental but consistent gains.

 

[SWC75]

HISTORICAL WINNING PLAYS (Babers Era – game totals only)

2016
Syracuse 101 Colgate 74 = +27
Syracuse 99 Louisville 132 = -33
Syracuse 95 South Florida 116 = -21
Syracuse 91 Connecticut 99 = -8
Syracuse 98 Notre Dame 111 = -13
Syracuse 72 Wake Forest 101 = -29
Syracuse 103 Virginia Tech 104 = -1
Syracuse 93 Boston College 84 = +9
Syracuse 74 Clemson 120 = -46
Syracuse 71 North Carolina State 103 = -32
Syracuse 71 Florida State 120 = -49
Syracuse 107 Pittsburgh 118 = -11
TOTAL: Syracuse 1075 Opponent 1282 = -207 We 'won' 2 of 12 games.

2017
Syracuse 132 Central Connecticut 65 = +67
Syracuse 104 Middle Tennessee 98 = +6
Syracuse 107 Central Michigan 100 = +7
Syracuse 80 Louisiana State 103 = -23
Syracuse 93 North Carolina State 112 = -19
Syracuse 97 Pittsburgh 96 = +1
Syracuse 95 Clemson 97= -2
Syracuse 86 Miami 119 = -33
Syracuse 90 Florida State 108 = -18
Syracuse 120 Wake Forest 125 = -5
Syracuse 96 Louisville 100 = -4
Syracuse 77 Boston College 87 = -10
TOTAL: Syracuse 1177 Opponents 1210 = -33 We ‘won’ 4 of12 games

2018
Syracuse 109 Western Michigan 96 = +13
Syracuse 139 Wagner 65 = +74
Syracuse 113 Florida State 77 = +36
Syracuse 109 Connecticut 83 = +26
Syracuse 86 Clemson 102= -16
Syracuse 99 Pittsburgh 97 = +2
Syracuse 113 North Carolina 115 = -2
Syracuse 113 North Carolina State 96 = +17
Syracuse 117 Wake Forest 107 = +10
Syracuse 124 Louisville 83 = +41
Syracuse 86 Notre Dame 99 = -13
Syracuse 110 Boston College 96 = +14
Syracuse 116 West Virginia 79 +37
TOTAL: Syracuse 1434 Opponents 1195 = +239 We ‘won’ 10 of 13 games

2019
Syracuse 104 Liberty 84 = +20
Syracuse 82 Maryland 112 = -30
Syracuse 77 Clemson 113 = -36
Syracuse 113 Western Michigan 99 =+14
Syracuse 110 Holy Cross 67 = +43
Syracuse 78 North Carolina State 100 = -22
Syracuse 92 Pittsburgh 114 = -22
Syracuse 96 Florida State 115 = -19
Syracuse 76 Boston College 119 = -43
Syracuse 107 Duke 78 = +29
Syracuse 85 Louisville 104 = -19
Syracuse 118 Wake Forest 111 = +7
TOTAL: Syracuse 1138 Opponents 1216 = -78 We ‘won’ 5 of 12 games

2020
Syracuse 70 North Carolina 114 = -44
Syracuse 78 Pittsburgh 89 = -11
Syracuse 108 Georgia Tech 102 = +6
Syracuse 79 Duke 114 = -35
Syracuse 77 Liberty 93 = -16
Syracuse 72 Clemson 112 = -40
Syracuse 76 Wake Forest 99 = -23
Syracuse 68 Boston College 96 = -28
Syracuse 76 Louisville 81 = -5
Syracuse 76 North Carolina State 108 = -32
Syracuse 82 Notre Dame 100 = -18
TOTAL: Syracuse 862 Opponents 1108 = -248 We ‘won’ 1 of 11 games

2021
Syracuse 86 Ohio U. 63 = +23
Syracuse 64 Rutgers 101 = -37
Syracuse 103 Albany 69 = +34
Syracuse 79 Liberty 83 = -4
Syracuse 79 Florida State 90 = -11
Syracuse 102 Wake Forest 92 = +10
Syracuse 79 Clemson 99 = -20
Syracuse 90 Virginia Tech 94 = -4
Syracuse 86 Boston College 79 = +7
Syracuse 56 Louisville 91 = -35
Syracuse 65 North Carolina State 88 = -23
Syracuse 67 Pittsburgh 95 = -28
TOTAL: Syracuse 956 opponents 1044 = -88 We ‘won’ 4 of 12 games

2022
Syracuse 92 Louisville 73 = +19
Syracuse 96 Connecticut 59 = +37
Syracuse 99 Purdue 92 = +7
Syracuse 88 Virginia 99 = -11
Syracuse 103 Wagner 28 = +75
Syracuse 89 North Carolina State 65 = +24
Syracuse 77 Clemson 102 = -25
Syracuse 66 Notre Dame 113 = -47
Syracuse 66 Pittsburgh 95 = -29
Syracuse 59 Florida State 100 = -41
Syracuse 82 Wake Forest 114 = -32
Syracuse 107 Boston College 79 = +28
Syracuse 85 Minnesota 84 = +1 We ‘won’ 7 of 13 games
TOTAL: Syracuse 1,109 opponents 1,103 = +6

2023
Syracuse 126 Colgate 62 = +64
Syracuse 109 Western Michigan 76 = +33
Syracuse 96 Purdue 88 = +8
Syracuse 87 Army 74 = +13
Syracuse 81 Clemson 95 = -14
Syracuse 76 North Carolina 106 = -30
Syracuse 61 Florida State 116 = -55
Syracuse 61 Virginia Tech 101 = -40
Syracuse 75 Boston College 97 = -21
Syracuse 80 Pittsburgh 73 = +7 We’ve won 5 of 10 games.
TOTAL: Syracuse 852 Opponents 888 = -36
Totals since 2016: Syracuse has won 9,936 plays, (48.9%) and 37 games, (38.5%). The opposition has won 10,401 plays, (yes we’ve now seen over 10,000 plays not go our way in the Babers Era) and 59 games. They’ve obtained their goals on 465 more plays than we have in 96 games, an average of 4.8 plays a game.