How do you know Malachi will improve more at SU next year than he would on an NBA team or even in the D-league. Certainly it would be great if Mal comes back and has a banner year for SU but him getting drafted and carving out an NBA career is not a "false choice" its a possibility, one of many.
You are correct that it is out of our control but I personally tier of the frustration expressed here. These highly ranked recruits are coming to SU to advance their basketball career. It seems that gets easily forgotten.
The false choice was "get used to second-round picks leaving early or go root for a mid-major," which isn't cool.
The other one (implied) was "if we want to keep drawing top recruits, it's good for Malachi to leave now." I just had to point out that there's more than one way to skin that cat.
I can't pretend to know what happens to Malachi's life under any of these scenarios, but I think these things:
1. It's weird when a freshman is projected in the second round and is said to be virtually guaranteed to leave school.
2. Malachi's weaknesses (to me: physical weakness that led to difficulty finishing, inconsistent perimeter shooting, and incomplete demonstration of ball-handling abilities) will all be improved with another year playing his natural position.
On the second point, it seems there are two most likely possibilities:
a) Improve those skills at Syracuse, with consistent minutes, a lot of press, and whatever life/basketball intangible skills improvements that come from being a team leader and spending another semester generally learning; or
b) Improve those skills either in the NBA or in the D League, making some amount of money.
Putting aside all the life skills questions that no one here likes to acknowledge, it would be prudent for Malachi ask himself (and every informed person around him) this: will Scenario B prepare me for career success more than Scenario A?
I don't know the answer, but if he's told that a good sophomore year will give him a shot to be in the lottery in 2017 (the impression I get), then he'd be short-sighted to jump in 2016 to be drafted ~35th.