The thing about Wisconsin is that although they shoot a horrible 42% from the field compared to our 46 or 47%, they only average 0.04 fewer points per shot than we do because over 1/3 of their offense comes from 3 pointers, whereas less than 1/4 of ours comes from 3's. Also, the fact that they just bomb away from 3 point range means long rebounds which means a lot of offensive rebounds for them is likely because long rebounds is what we REALLY struggle with since our guards leak out so much. They also play a very good man defense, we're by far the more athletic team so I would expect that they'll be trying to sag off on us a little to try to keep us in front of them and turn us into jumpshooters. I'd like to see Boeheim throw the press at them a little bit here and there since they desperately try to keep games in the 40s and 50s.
If they shoot around their season average of 36% from downtown, I think it will be a tight game. However, if Scoop pushes the tempo on offense like he did against K State, and we attack the interior the way we did against UNCA in the 2nd half and K State for the majority of the game, I think we'll win this one by 6ish.