Exactly, like here for example!
Add in no real pressure to win the big one, just win more than lose aka be competitive. Have to think fran is smart enough to realize this, 4 hrs from home, become a ben/mac like legend and be set for life. Now that facilities are up to top notch in every respect, the 12 team playoff allows access to the promised land of the sport its a no brainer.
But that's the issue for most in this sport (I say as one of them, kind of...), the overcompetitive meat heads they are just can't let the logic of this win out. I'm thinking fran brown may be different.
I get we have lower expectations, but we do have expectations. Otherwise, Dino would not have been let go. You cannot just go 6-6 every year, get the Fenway Bowl, and have a program with any juice in it. If Fran goes 4-8 this year, and 6-6 next year, and 6-6 the following year... are you telling me his seat is not starting to get warm when sitting at 26-23 after 4 years? [Edit: assume two bowl wins in the 6-6 years to make it 28-23.] If so, he is going into 2028 on a warm seat.
I am sure we and he do not think his performance would be that low, but when you are one injury away from an 8-4 season becoming a 4-8 season... reality starts to hit. Angeli not being 100% next year until October could easily result in 6-6. Suppose Angeli did not tear his achilles, but just strained something and was going to miss a month. If he was coming back this week... are we looking at a high likelihood of beating UNC, BC, and one of Miami/ND even with Angeli to even get to 6-6? Major injuries happen. Minor injuries also happen. Look at Mateer at Oklahoma State. Missed one week with a surgery... came back early... and he is not the same QB. Castellanos is
playing hurt for FSU and is not the same QB/not delivering the same results..
I get expectations are higher at other schools. At Florida, maybe 10-3, 7-6, 9-4, and 8-5 has you on the hot seat. But you are $10M+ wealthier over four years... and have an overall record of 34-16.
At Penn State... 8-5, 9-4, 10-3, and 11-3 with a playoff loss as a 10-seed might get you fired also. But you are $10M+ wealthier and now have an overall record of 38-15.
Whether we like it or not, Fran has to strike in 2025 with this ridiculous coaching carousel to try to maximize his own value. In order to keep him beyond this year, we need to give him a suitable extension with a raise to narrow the gap between those schools, and a nice buyout to the school if he leaves on his own ($10M or so) and a nice buyout for him if he is fired for performance (pay most of contract with only a modest duty to mitigate). Otherwise, he has no choice but to try his hand somewhere else for a huge raise (if he can get it).