I have not deep dived into resumes this year. Regarding St. Johnls.
- The matrix had them 18 on the S-Curve, which is the same as the Committee. So I think that indicates the seeding is fair enough... difference between 16-18 was very minimal, so they could have been the final 4.
- But even if they had a been a 4 instead of a 5, their round of 32 match would have been a similar difficulty, perhaps even against Kansas as a 5. 12's are harder than 13's, so they have a bit tougher first round but if you are a contender it shouldn't matter.
That being said if they had been a #4 seed they would have been forced out of the East due to bracketing rules.
- The question then becomes whether they should have been a 3 which does change things, and would have taken them out of the East.
Are they better than Virginia at #3. Virginia is 8-4 in G1 as compared to St. Johns at 5-5,. St John's was 1-4 in OOC games that were Q1 and that hurt them as well as the BE being down. St. John's did have bigger elite wins than Virginia though.
The big thing though is that as a 4 seed they would be out of the East, which is perhaps a good thing.