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31-0

Can you wrap your ahead around the fact that their strength of schedule was 340 out of 354 D1 teams? And 29 of the 31 wins were eitherQ4 or non D1? Sorry, but that kind of schedule just doesn’t rate with me. Maybe, if they’re gonna use actually played someone in the non-conference I’d feel different. But then they probably wouldn’t be 31-1.

Your dumb take is what I'm having difficulty wrapping my head around. Others have outlined the Q3 dilemma, not going to bother explaining it again.

I don't know where you are pulling your data from. But KenPom has them at #274 for SoS. Not suggesting that is great, but it isn't 340.

And Strength of schedule is only one indicator. They are #54 in the NET.

Which is why they will be comfortably in on selection sunday. Because nobody would exclude a 31-1 team that checks numerous boxes.





Edit - here is some more detail, with numbers backing up why they'll be in:

As of March 12, 2026, Miami (Ohio) is strongly projected to make the NCAA Tournament as an at-large bid, despite a shocking quarterfinal loss to UMass in the MAC tournament that ended their 31-0 perfect season. They are considered a lock by many analysts due to their historic record, though likely an at-large team rather than an automatic qualifier.
ESPN +4
Key Details:
  • Record: 31-1 (18-0 in regular season MAC play).
  • Status: Lost to UMass 87-83 in the MAC Tournament quarterfinals on March 12.
  • Projection: Despite the loss, their resume (21st in strength of record) makes them highly likely to receive an at-large bid, potentially appearing in the First Four in Dayton.
  • Historical Context: No team with over 29 wins has ever been omitted from the NCAA tournament.
 
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Get your dates a little mixed up their el trollo?
No trolling. There’s just one less at large spot available due to Mighty Miami of Ohio and their accomplished head coach. I have a feeling and a belief USF will be going down soon. No dancing shoes needed. That’s life on the bubble when you don’t win.
 
No trolling. There’s just one less at large spot available due to Mighty Miami of Ohio and their accomplished head coach. I have a feeling and a belief USF will be going down soon. No dancing shoes needed. That’s life on the bubble when you don’t win.

Ok so just your absurd dislike of BH playing out here. Got it
 
Highly logical, sincerely held, and wildly popular dislike
one flew over the cuckoos nest GIF
 
Agree that too many P4 schools do that. But almost every other school in the MAC managed to find a couple Q1 or 2 games, so it certainly wasn’t impossible.

The bottom half / lower tier schools in the MAC can more easily find games because they are not on "the do no schedule" list. Its much tougher for the traditionally "better" teams in that conference, like Akron and Kent St, although Purdue did play them.

As of the beginning of December, when I tracked schedules, P4+BE schools had played 52% of their games against Q4 teams (using KP at the time as the team ranking). And 7% against Q3 teams outside of the power conferences. The scheduling to exclude teams like Miami is pretty deliberate. Could they have found one game perhaps, that doesn't really swing things.

They can try to schedule teams outside of the P4 and hope some land -- I saw Yale on Akron's or Kent St for example.
 
I rather watch SMU who went 8-10 in ACC play and lost to Syracuse. This type of team is what the tournament is all about
I always think this is the strongest argument. I don't necessarily think Miami OH deserves it, but someone has to get it.
 
I always think this is the strongest argument. I don't necessarily think Miami OH deserves it, but someone has to get it.

For me its an argument of "benefit of the doubt". Do I give it to a school who went 7-11 or 8-10 in a power conference, that had plenty of chances to prove they were a real contender. Or do I give the benefit of the doubt to the mid-major or low-major who had a good season.

I remember making similar arguments for teams like Indiana St, Drexel, Monmouth, Appalachian St, Middle Tennessee ... and they always get short end of the stick in the end. Miami (Ohio) is the most unique because its 31-1 - but their schedule may have helped that from being closer to 4.

I'd put Miami in. But they have holes (SOS, quality wins), and the committee is familiar with using these holes against lower tier schools to exclude them. Which is often unfair because using quality wins isn't fair when one school gets 13 chances compared to 2.
 
I'll also add that because the BE and MWC are down, the P4 will have more seeds this year than ever before.

Because there are more P4 teams in this year than prior year, the P4 teams that are either last in or first out are perhaps a little weaker than normal. Perhaps that helps Miami,
 

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