ACC tournament projection version 3.0

[Alsacs]

Standings:

1. Virginia 14-2 (1-0 vs. UNC)
2. North Carolina 14-2
3. Duke 13-3
4. Virginia Tech 11-5 (beat Duke)___
Byes into the Quarterfinals

5. Florida State 11-5
6. Syracuse 10-6
7. Louisville 9-7
8. NC State 8-8
9. Clemson 7-9
_____Bye into the Second Round

10. Boston College 5-10
11. Miami 4-12 ( 1-0 vs. Wake, 1-0 vs. GT)
12. Georgia Tech 4-12 ( 1-0 vs. Wake, 0-1 vs. Miami
13. Wake Forest 4-12 ( 0-1 vs. GT and Miami)
14. Notre Dame 3-12
15. Pittsburgh 2-14

All games are on ESPN, ESPN2 or the ACC Network in Charlotte, NC

First Round Tuesday March 12th

Game 1- #12 seed Georgia Tech vs.#13 seed Wake Forest @ 12:00
Game 2 - #10 seed Boston College vs. #15 seed Pittsburgh @ 2:00
Game 3 - #11 seed Miami vs. #14 seed Notre Dame @ 7:00

Second Round Wednesday March 13th

Game 4 - #8 seed NC State vs. #9 seed Clemson @ Noon
Game 5- #5 seed Florida State vs. Game 1 winner @ 2:30
Game 6 - #7 seed Louisville vs. Game 2 winner@ 7:00
Game 7- #6 seed Syracuse vs. Game 3 winner @ 9:30

Quarterfinals Thursday March 14th

Game 8 - #1 seed Virginia vs.Game 4 winner @ Noon
Game 9 - #4 seed Virginia Tech vs. Game 5 winner @ 2:30
Game 10 - #2 seed North Carolina vs. Game 6 winner @ 7:00
Game 11- #3 seed Duke vs.Game 7 winner @ 9:30

Semifinals Friday March 15th

Game 11 - Game 8 winner vs. Game 9 winner @ 7:00
Game 12 - Game 10 winner vs. Game 11 winner @ 9:30

Finals Saturday March 16th

Game 13 - Game 11 winner vs. Game12 winner @ 9:00

Games this week( who to root for)

Sunday
Notre Dame at Louisville- Go Irish
Boston College at Georgia Tech- Go BC to keep GT away from the 11 seed

Monday
Virginia at Syracuse- Go Syracuse

Tuesday
Wake Forest at Duke- doesn’t matter
Virginia Tech at Florida State- winner of this game will get the 4 seed
North Carolina at Boston College- doesn’t matter
Pittsburgh at Miami- doesn’t matter

Wednesday
Clemson at Notre Dame- doesn’t matter
Georgia Tech at NC State- Go GT

Friday
Miami at Virginia Tech- go Miami
Saturday
Syracuse at Clemson Go SU
Florida State at Wake- Go WF
Notre Dame at Pittsburgh- doesn’t matter
NC State at Boston College- Go BC
Louisville at Virginia- Go UVA
Duke at North Carolina- doesn’t matter.

Basically unless we go 0-2 and Louisville wins at Virginia we are going to be the 6 seed.
Worst case scenario is we lose out Louisville beats UVA and NC State wins out we are the 8 seed.

Odds are this IMO
50% 6 seed
30% 7 seed
10% 8 seed
10% 5 seed

 

[UnderHisOwnPower]

Standings:

1. Virginia 14-2 (1-0 vs. UNC)
2. North Carolina 14-2
3. Duke 13-3
4. Virginia Tech 11-5 (beat Duke)___
Byes into the Quarterfinals

5. Florida State 11-5
6. Syracuse 10-6
7. Louisville 9-7
8. NC State 8-8
9. Clemson 7-9
_____Bye into the Second Round

10. Boston College 5-10
11. Miami 4-12 ( 1-0 vs. Wake, 1-0 vs. GT)
12.[COLOR=rgb(, 218, 100)] [/COLOR]Georgia Tech 4-12 ( 1-0 vs. Wake, 0-1 vs. Miami
13. Wake Forest 4-12 ( 0-1 vs. GT and Miami)
14. Notre Dame 3-12
15. Pittsburgh 2-14

All games are on ESPN, ESPN2 or the ACC Network in Charlotte, NC

First Round Tuesday March 12th

Game 1- #12 seed Georgia Tech vs.#13 seed Wake Forest @ 12:00
Game 2 - #10 seed Boston College vs. #15 seed Pittsburgh @ 2:00
Game 3 - #11 seed Miami vs. #14 seed Notre Dame @ 7:00

Second Round Wednesday March 13th

Game 4 - #8 seed NC State vs. #9 seed Clemson @ Noon
Game 5- #5 seed Florida State vs. Game 1 winner @ 2:30
Game 6 - #7 seed Louisville vs. Game 2 winner@ 7:00
Game 7- #6 seed Syracuse vs. Game 3 winner @ 9:30

Quarterfinals Thursday March 14th

Game 8 - #1 seed Virginia vs.Game 4 winner @ Noon
Game 9 - #4 seed Virginia Tech vs. Game 5 winner @ 2:30
Game 10 - #2 seed North Carolina vs. Game 6 winner @ 7:00
Game 11- #3 seed Duke vs.Game 7 winner @ 9:30

Semifinals Friday March 15th

Game 11 - Game 8 winner vs. Game 9 winner @ 7:00
Game 12 - Game 10 winner vs. Game 11 winner @ 9:30

Finals Saturday March 16th

Game 13 - Game 11 winner vs. Game12 winner @ 9:00

Games this week( who to root for)

Sunday
Notre Dame at Louisville- Go Irish
Boston College at Georgia Tech- Go BC to keep GT away from the 11 seed

Monday
Virginia at Syracuse- Go Syracuse

Tuesday
Wake Forest at Duke- doesn’t matter
Virginia Tech at Florida State- winner of this game will get the 4 seed
North Carolina at Boston College- doesn’t matter
Pittsburgh at Miami- doesn’t matter

Wednesday
Clemson at Notre Dame- doesn’t matter
Georgia Tech at NC State- Go GT

Friday
Miami at Virginia Tech- go Miami
Saturday
Syracuse at Clemson Go SU
Florida State at Wake- Go WF
Notre Dame at Pittsburgh- doesn’t matter
NC State at Boston College- Go BC
Louisville at Virginia- Go UVA
Duke at North Carolina- doesn’t matter.

Basically unless we go 0-2 and Louisville wins at Virginia we are going to be the 6 seed.
Worst case scenario is we lose out Louisville beats UVA and NC State wins out we are the 8 seed.

Odds are this IMO
50% 6 seed
30% 7 seed
10% 8 seed
10% 5 seed

Agreed, collision course with Duke...again. I don’t mind mixing it up with them for a 3rd time this year on a “neutral” court. It’s only to improve seeding at that point. Too bad we can’t count on Wake to give FSU a game next weekend.

 

[DonLightfoot]

Great analysis, thanks. I think you need to change the last regular season games from Friday to Saturday.

 

[jdubs30]

Would be nice to play at night on Wednesday for once !

 

[MSOrange]

Would be nice to play at night on Wednesday for once !

Agree. I only scheduled Thurs and Fri off

 

[Alsacs]

Great analysis, thanks. I think you need to change the last regular season games from Friday to Saturday.

Miami-Virginia Tech are playing this Friday.
The rest of those games are Saturday.

 

[DonLightfoot]

Miami-Virginia Tech are playing this Friday.
The rest of those games are Saturday.

Oops. My bad for not seeing that.

 

[Knicks411]

One thing I've noticed is the bottom of the conf this year is pretty bad, and the bottom is larger than normal. BC is now 5-11, they're in 10th place, they're 98th in Ken Pom. Last year, ND was 10th, they were 35th. We were 11th, we were 41.

The top 9 teams in the conf are all in the top 34, the bottom 6 rank anywhere from 72nd (Miami) to 189 (Wake Forest). So what I am getting at is that it seems like no matter what, our first round game is going to be against a team we are going to be solid favorites over. (Am I thinking about this in part because in the back of my mind i think we could lose the last 3 and be on the wrong side of the bubble? maybe)

The entire Big ten is in the Ken Pom top 75, which is really something.

 

[OrangeXtreme]

 

[Marty McFly]

sucks to be on that list...

 

[Maxsumm]

Syracuse should send the ACC schedule makers a card this year, only had to play one team among the top 8 twice and the other 3 all within 9-15. not all conference records are the same now adays for sure

 

[syrBossHogg]

So GT is now the 10 seed and BC is the 11 seed. SU win tomorrow locks up the 6 seed, loser of PITT/ND is the 15 seed.

 

[kirbivore]

Would be nice to play at night on Wednesday for once !

We played on Wednesday night last season as the #11 vs. #14 Wake Forest. The next night SU lost to the TarH Holes. SU did play back to back noon games in the 2016 and 2017 ACCT vs. Pitt and Miami respectively.

 

[adk(roc)CUSE]

We played on Wednesday night last season as the #11 vs. #14 Wake Forest. The next night SU lost to the TarH Holes. SU did play back to back noon games in the 2016 and 2017 ACCT vs. Pitt and Miami respectively.

As the 11 seed wouldn't we have played on a Tuesday night?

 

[kirbivore]

As the 11 seed wouldn't we have played on a Tuesday night?

Correct, I got the day of the first game wrong. By winning SU then played on Wednesday night vs. #6 UNC.