Agree. One thing I will say in the current portal era is that with Euro dudes, G League dudes, guys playing their 5-6 years and the million other guys around...You have to be a top blue chip level player, we're talking 5 stars to make that freshman impact, and as far as after freshman year it's all about timing.By basing it off of purely RSCI ratings, I ran the risk of confirmation bias and avoided recency bias.
Clearly, several of our best players were unranked by RSCI coming out of high school. No doubt, some players progress better than others, and sometimes there are blown scouting reports that miss on players.
But, generally speaking, high talent out of high school succeeds at a higher rate in college ball.
I didn't want to go through every roster player by player, it is highly subjective (and this isn't my job). The ACC in general recruited much better as a conference both in high school and portal recruiting. That comes from having more money. I can't find confirmed sources for NIL and unfortunately every body has incentive to lie.
Unless we start getting publicly available contracts, we will never know.
But if we were 6-7th in NIL money spent this season, out of 18 conference teams, that actually supports my point that we can compete with everybody but Duke financially and will get our fair share of recruiting wins.
Some highly rated HS kids may not excel until they are much older and in the right system and I would argue is more random than ever.