RandomGuy
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Agreed. Although, I'd put 30 schools in that category. (NFL model supports that)The "salary cap" is the scholarship and scholarship limits per school. Even playing field for all with that.
The NIL money is just endorsement money on top of everything else. Can't stop that with this new rule.
The government won't get involved as there is nothing to get involved in. College sports have changed now. And it has drastically changed for mens football and basketball. You will have a handful of powerhouses with big financial banking behind them buying up the best recruits and paying kids to transfer to the big money schools. And the rest of the schools in America outside of those Top 20 will play games for pride and fun and regional rivalries but with no shot at winning a national title or anything or being able to recruit a superstar player.
You will have about a POWER 20 schools and everyone else will be like the Ivy League in time.
The government won't get involved in NIL, but I expect they will in regards to player compensation, shortly.
I'd expect tv revenue, bowl payouts, etc. To fall for non power 20/30. Perhaps less national interest in the power teams.. . IF at that point, they find it more advantageous to float 30 more teams? Its possible. (NCAA NIL Parity) The college football playoff going from $600M to $2B, would leave plenty to support that. A system of economic parity, in that regard, could discourage boosters from buying championships, as the $$ they spent would float all boats.
Daydreaming? Probably. Although luxury tax, etc. Is a real thing in MLB, so anything is possible.