ESPN Win Probability

[NineOneSeven]

No idea how this is all figured out, but the map falls in line with the rollercoaster of emotions and game play. This would have been a really, REALLY, tough and downright bad loss to handle considering that first half, and final 5 or so minutes of the second half.

 

[ROCuse]

Up 16 at the start of the second half it had our win probability around 96%. That makes no sense.

 

[dasher]

No idea how this is all figured out, but the map falls in line with the rollercoaster of emotions and game play. This would have been a really, REALLY, tough and downright bad loss to handle considering that first half, and final 5 or so minutes of the second half.

View attachment 211318

I read every night. I can't tonight. If we lost, I'm not sure I could breathe tonight.

 

[NineOneSeven]

I read every night. I can't tonight. If we lost, I'm not sure I could breathe tonight.

When it went into overtime, I was crushed. This game was critical.

 

[rocklloyd]

Up 16 at the start of the second half it had our win probability around 96%. That makes no sense.

The probability machine must be run by an experienced SU fan. None of us feel comfortable up anything at half.

 

[Delmar]

Funny. That win probability line looks exactly like my EKG.

 

[upperdeck]

pretty sure its just a formula.. how often do teams at home up 16 at the half win?