Hurricane Dorian Updates | Page 3 | Syracusefan.com

Hurricane Dorian Updates

FrancoPizza said:
What short term models are you referring to? The big 3 are the ones the hurricane center leans on because those models outperform everything else. When there’s a consensus from all 3 that’s hard to ignore. The NHC won’t sound the all clear for Florida for another 24-36 hours to be on the safe side though.

No idea if this means Dorian stays offshore or scrapes the Carolinas.
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You can’t look at anything farther then really 3 days out cause after that it’s a crapshoot.
 
Chip said:
Yay, a climate change debate. I can find out everyone’s politics and still ignore the OT board.

Win-win.
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The only climate change appropriate for the football board is the winning climate HCDB has and is installing re-installing in the SU football program.

Concern about whether Maryland will be a windy, wet, and muddy game is allowed AFTER we take care of business in Lynchburg, where SU is scheduled to douse the Flames!
 
if the current forecast holds anyone flying into maryland for the game may have issues..
 
FrancoPizza said:
What short term models are you referring to? The big 3 are the ones the hurricane center leans on because those models outperform everything else. When there’s a consensus from all 3 that’s hard to ignore. The NHC won’t sound the all clear for Florida for another 24-36 hours to be on the safe side though.

No idea if this means Dorian stays offshore or scrapes the Carolinas.
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The globals will track it decently until it gets closer to the coast. The GFS and Euro models (Euro/Ukie) rarely agree and generally speaking are good up to a day or so away. At that point dump the tropical models and look at your short range models like the HRRR, NAM and others depending on preference. The slow speed as well, along with other storms can really challenge the global models as well. Perfect example is how much the globals have shifted in just a short time.
 
What's the likelihood this storm will impact our game next weekend? Models show it hitting North Carolina coast sometime on thursday.
 
Aqua2050 said:
What's the likelihood this storm will impact our game next weekend? Models show it hitting North Carolina coast sometime on thursday.
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Their storm forecast changes every 12 hours so your guess is as good as theirs.
 
HtownOrange said:
The only climate change appropriate for the football board is the winning climate HCDB has and is installing re-installing in the SU football program.

Concern about whether Maryland will be a windy, wet, and muddy game is allowed AFTER we take care of business in Lynchburg, where SU is scheduled to douse the Flames!
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As long as mar a go largo is safe no nukes
 
It would be appreciated if anyone who possesses even rudimentary chart reading skills (I apparently do not) could weigh in on the linked chart. Trying to identify the wind speed outlook for West Palm Beach during the Tuesday-Wednesday period. Thanks.
 
texascpa said:
And yet there's science that doesn't support that

Historical Atlantic Hurricane and Tropical Storm Records – Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory

Keep in mind that hurricane trafficking and recording is only as accurate as the observations and technology allow us. You can extrapolate, and even when NOAA did, they found very little, if any increase in the last 150 years.
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RMH44 said:
Agreed about being an off topic board subject...but I'll add this here: Acclaimed Israeli astrophysicist suggests the sun drives Earth’s climate, not CO2

Solar activity is the single most important driver of climate change. Carbon emissions are way down the list. For perspective, a single large volcanic eruption (i.e. Mt St Helen in 1980) can spew more green house gases than man has created since the dawn of the Industrial Revolution.

As a life long environmentalist I believe that, as matter of policy, we should always error on the side of caution. Environmental alarmism, cloaked in bad science, doesn't help anyone. I guess it really doesn't matter since the planet will only be habitable for another 10-12 years. It looks like SU will go out in style ;-)
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you’ve got to be kidding me. ImpactLab.net is your source? A “lifelong environmentalist” who believes “solar activity” is the single most important driver of climate change? This website is not a credible news source, and scientists like Nir Shaviv are extreme outliers on climate change and promote themselves as experts but are far from it. 99 percent of scientists agree that climate change is being driven by human activity. It’s not really debatable anymore, and the evidence is mounting that it’s happening much faster than scientists once thought and that the effects are compounding. We must stop denying that scientific reality and face the problem, not play into the hands of climate change deniers who are driven by lobbying money from the fossil fuel industry. The truth is that the industry itself knew the reality of the problem as far back as the 1960s and 70s. There’s been exhaustive studies and reporting on the extent of the problem we’re facing, but people continue to cite terrible “journalism” and biased, not credible sources like ImpactLab.net.
 
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I wish I was astonished that this thread hasn't been nuked or moved to the OT board. I am impressed at the ability of a large number of posters ability to turn anything into a political thread.

So we can move this even further away from anything football related, and prove everything is political- Does wearing boxers or briefs indicate your political al leanings? Go...
 
Cusefan95 said:
I wish I was astonished that this thread hasn't been nuked or moved to the OT board. I am impressed at the ability of a large number of posters ability to turn anything into a political thread.
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It's thisclose.
 
Sherman20 said:
Climate change isn’t a “political” issue.
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It's clearly unrelated to Syracuse football.

Which is what this board is supposed to be for.

This entire thread (or 95% of it) is stupid and inappropriate for this board.
 
bnoro said:
:rolleyes:

Let's just ignore that record amounts of ice in the Arctic & Antarctica have melted and the Amazon deforestation levels in Brazil may have pushed us past the point of no return because some guy is trying to build a house...
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Or we need to grow more feed for the animals that we* eat.

Things will get even more interesting for my future grandchildren.

* and “no”, that doesn’t include yours truly.
 
Toga said:
Bump
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It doesn’t predict actual wind speeds for Tuesday or Wednesday. It only says that there is a 70% likelihood of 50+ mph wind and 30% for 60+ anytime between now and Wednesday. 41% it starts Monday night, but it doesn’t say how long it will last as far as I can tell
 
Nate44 said:
It doesn’t predict actual wind speeds for Tuesday or Wednesday. It only says that there is a 70% likelihood of 50+ mph wind and 30% for 60+ anytime between now and Wednesday. 41% it starts Monday night, but it doesn’t say how long it will last as far as I can tell
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Thank you. How about for this latest update? Appreciated.
 
Nate44 said:
Pretty much the same. 89% chance that wind speeds reach 34mph between now and six tonight. 41% chance of 50+ Mph and 14% of 64+ Mph tonight. 15% chance the 50+ winds dont start until tomorrow morning
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Thanks!
 
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