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LOUISVILLE > FORUMS > THE YUM! > SAGARIN PROJECTIONS -- 2/25/17
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Sagarin projections -- 2/25/17
Yesterday at 12:52 PM
Louisville's Rank in Sagarin Predictor Ratings: 5 of 351
Louisville's Rank in Sagarin Overall Ratings: 7 of 351
Predictor Rating: 92.55
Overall Rating: 92.35
Projected final record: 28-8
*NOTE: Projected records are calculated by adding up the win PROBABILITIES of all games, NOT by counting the number of games in which a team is favored.
Game-by-game projections / win probabilities (Predictor ranking in parentheses):
(35) Syracuse -- Win by 12 -- 87%
@ (38) Wake Forest -- Win by 6 -- 72%
(25) Notre Dame -- Win by 8 -- 79%
ACC Tournament First Round: Bye
ACC Tournament Second Round: Bye
ACC Tournament Quarterfinals: vs. (28) Miami-Florida -- Win by 7 -- 76%
ACC Tournament Semifinals: vs. (10) Virginia -- Win by 1 -- 54%
ACC Tournament Championship: vs. (3) North Carolina -- Lose by 1 -- 45%
ACC Tournament: 1.54 wins, 0.74 losses
NCAA Tournament (2-seed): 2.40 wins, 0.96 losses
Projected ACC records (Predictor Ranking in parentheses):
(3) North Carolina -- 14-4
(5) Louisville -- 12-6
(25) Notre Dame -- 12-6
(17) Florida State -- 12-6
(9) Duke -- 12-6
(10) Virginia -- 10-8
(28) Miami-Florida -- 10-8
(35) Syracuse -- 10-8
(51) Virginia Tech -- 10-8
(83) Georgia Tech -- 8-10
(38) Wake Forest -- 8-10
(39) Clemson -- 6-12
(65) Pittsburgh -- 5-13
(88) NC State -- 4-14
(140) Boston College -- 2-16
Projected ACC Tournament Results (Seeds precede team names):
First round:
12-Clemson over 13-Pittsburgh by 3
10-Georgia Tech over 15-Boston College by 5
11-Wake Forest over 14-NC State by 6
Second round:
8-Syracuse over 9-Virginia Tech by 2
5-Duke over 12-Clemson by 8
7-Miami-Florida over 10-Georgia Tech by 8
6-Virginia over 11-Wake Forest by 8
Quarterfinals:
1-North Carolina over 8-Syracuse by 10
5-Duke over 4-Florida State by 2
2-Louisville over 7-Miami-Florida by 7
6-Virginia over 3-Notre Dame by 4
Semifinals:
1-North Carolina over 5-Duke by 2
2-Louisville over 6-Virginia by 1
Championship:
1-North Carolina over 2-Louisville by 1
Probabilities of ACC record:
13-5: 49.303%
12-6: 39.920%
11-7: 10.011%
10-8: 0.766%
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CardGame
http://media.At their request, this network is being blocked from this site./media/avatars/6/6/CardGame.jpg
Sagarin projections -- 2/25/17
Yesterday at 12:52 PM
Louisville's Rank in Sagarin Predictor Ratings: 5 of 351
Louisville's Rank in Sagarin Overall Ratings: 7 of 351
Predictor Rating: 92.55
Overall Rating: 92.35
Projected final record: 28-8
*NOTE: Projected records are calculated by adding up the win PROBABILITIES of all games, NOT by counting the number of games in which a team is favored.
Game-by-game projections / win probabilities (Predictor ranking in parentheses):
(35) Syracuse -- Win by 12 -- 87%
@ (38) Wake Forest -- Win by 6 -- 72%
(25) Notre Dame -- Win by 8 -- 79%
ACC Tournament First Round: Bye
ACC Tournament Second Round: Bye
ACC Tournament Quarterfinals: vs. (28) Miami-Florida -- Win by 7 -- 76%
ACC Tournament Semifinals: vs. (10) Virginia -- Win by 1 -- 54%
ACC Tournament Championship: vs. (3) North Carolina -- Lose by 1 -- 45%
ACC Tournament: 1.54 wins, 0.74 losses
NCAA Tournament (2-seed): 2.40 wins, 0.96 losses
Projected ACC records (Predictor Ranking in parentheses):
(3) North Carolina -- 14-4
(5) Louisville -- 12-6
(25) Notre Dame -- 12-6
(17) Florida State -- 12-6
(9) Duke -- 12-6
(10) Virginia -- 10-8
(28) Miami-Florida -- 10-8
(35) Syracuse -- 10-8
(51) Virginia Tech -- 10-8
(83) Georgia Tech -- 8-10
(38) Wake Forest -- 8-10
(39) Clemson -- 6-12
(65) Pittsburgh -- 5-13
(88) NC State -- 4-14
(140) Boston College -- 2-16
Projected ACC Tournament Results (Seeds precede team names):
First round:
12-Clemson over 13-Pittsburgh by 3
10-Georgia Tech over 15-Boston College by 5
11-Wake Forest over 14-NC State by 6
Second round:
8-Syracuse over 9-Virginia Tech by 2
5-Duke over 12-Clemson by 8
7-Miami-Florida over 10-Georgia Tech by 8
6-Virginia over 11-Wake Forest by 8
Quarterfinals:
1-North Carolina over 8-Syracuse by 10
5-Duke over 4-Florida State by 2
2-Louisville over 7-Miami-Florida by 7
6-Virginia over 3-Notre Dame by 4
Semifinals:
1-North Carolina over 5-Duke by 2
2-Louisville over 6-Virginia by 1
Championship:
1-North Carolina over 2-Louisville by 1
Probabilities of ACC record:
13-5: 49.303%
12-6: 39.920%
11-7: 10.011%
10-8: 0.766%
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