Do you really blame him after the way Flynn and Wes turned out? And Flynn and Waiters ascent up the draft was almost identical, except Waiters only worked out for like one team.
I am a big Simmons fan, but the one thing you have to remember is he is strictly an NBA fan and hardly watched ANY college hoops. He watches only March Madness, never the regular season. He knows almost nothing about any of these players other than what their numbers say and what a couple of real analysts tell him. So really take everything he says with a grain of salt. He does know his stuff when starts talking about current NBA players who've been in the league a while, but he knows nothing about how these prospects will actually pan out. That being said, I do think his attitude towards the Melo pick is probably representative of how most Celtics fans feel this morning.
but he knows nothing about how these prospects will actually pan out.
Well, he also loved Adam Morrison in the draft several years ago, so take it with a grain of salt. I generally enjoy his work when he's writing "as a fan" (which I think is his strength), but I've never been able to take him seriously as a real analyst. He was also a Clippers season ticket holder before Griffin & Paul, so he's probably suffered enough without me trashing me.
I've never been a Simmons fan, I don't like his self-referential and self-satisfied writing style, but I have to grudgingly admit that he knows the NBA. I have also noticed through the years that he seems to be more familiar with SU basketball than most non-SU fans, and he is often quite complimentary to the program and to its players on the college level.
That said, I also think he is correct about Dion & Fab in this draft - I think they each went about 10 picks too high - of course, I hope we are both wrong about them, too.
I think that Dion--while he clearly has some development work to do [and who knows--he may have already shown improvement in some areas, like shooting, as a function of his hard work leading up to the draft] to round out his game, I think that his skill set is quite well suited for the NBA game. I have a feeling that Dion is going to be just fine, and prove to be a good player at the NBA level.
Fab--I view him as a developmental pick who went right about where you'd expect. People [especially C fans, like myself] who are expecting him to come in and make an impact or challenge for a starting spot right away are probably going to be disappointed. But I wouldn't be surprised if he ends up developing into a starter in 2-3 years. I also wouldn't be surprised if he ends up panning out like a bunch of recent first round centers who get drafted on projecting, like Saer Sene or Robert Swift, who don't pan out at all.
we agree that Fab is a developmental project - and I don't think you should pick a developmental project in the first round, where you are committed to paying him for 3 years. As a GM, I would only take a guy like that in the 2nd round or as a UFA, or else pick him up in 3-4 years when his initial deal expires and someone else has already eaten the developmental costs
my take on Dion has been consistent - I think he would have been better off going lower in the draft and being taken as a rotation player for a good team with veteran leadership. In Cleveland as a 4 pick, he is going to be expected to be a star and is going to have his rookie numbers compared to his backcourt mate and last year's ROY. That team probably is going to lose ~50 games and it is going to be a long, difficult winter
yes, I know it is. and I think it is a mistake. the Association over-values size and spends too much guaranteed money trying to develop it . . . if I was a GM (and I know there are many reasons why nobody will ever offer me a job), I would never give a developmental guy guaranteed money.Well, that's not how NBA teams draft, though [re: Fab]. Big guys with potential get taken all the time as developmental projects in the first round.
yes, I know it is. and I think it is a mistake. the Association over-values size and spends too much guaranteed money trying to develop it . . . if I was a GM (and I know there are many reasons why nobody will ever offer me a job), I would never give a developmental guy guaranteed money.