Yeah, good question. I still think if we take care of business on Saturday and then knock off Clemson on the road followed by a win in the ACC tournament, we will at least be in the conversation. 4 more I would think would be nearly a lock.
SNL sketch
3 syracuse fans hooting and hollering watching the syracuse louisville game. Syracuse wins by 7, high fives all around!
1 of the guy’s wife walks in the room
Wife - hey syracuse won?
Guys - yea we won by 7. We’re getting closer to that bubble baby!
Wife - actually you only won by 7. And with syracuse’s low NET ranking the only way to really improve it is by winning by 15-20 points. A 7 point win doesnt get you any closer to the bubble, especially against a bad team like louisville.
Then the wife looks at the camera
Sad but true. Thing is though, maybe winning by 7 doesn't help our NET but a loss would be devastating.SNL sketch
3 syracuse fans hooting and hollering watching the syracuse louisville game. Syracuse wins by 7, high fives all around!
1 of the guy’s wife walks in the room
Wife - hey syracuse won?
Guys - yea we won by 7. We’re getting closer to that bubble baby!
Wife - actually you only won by 7. And with syracuse’s low NET ranking the only way to really improve it is by winning by 15-20 points. A 7 point win doesnt get you any closer to the bubble, especially against a bad team like louisville.
Then the wife looks at the camera
Who would’ve thought that Joe Girard would have a direct impact of our NCAA chances?
Yeah, just from ballparking expected moves from efficiency numbers/KP and then watching actual NET moves for a few teams here and there the last couple weeks, it's become clear that teams move up maybe 50% farther than I expect when they're on the road, and maybe 25% less than I expect when they're at home. So almost a 2 to 1 ratio.
When he started rattling off our big blowout losses I started shaking. I had forgotten how bad like 5 of them were. My God.
This doesn't pass the smell test for me. If a team beats the efficiency spread by 30, they're basically adding 1 point per game and probably around 1.4 points per 100 to their overall efficiency margin. That's going to be a 6-10 spot swing in NET for most teams.
I'm listening now. In general I like these podcasts, but if I hear Axe plug the Syracuse Sports Insiders subscription on one more of these I may lose it, lolHere's the podcast with Stevens. Just came out
Finding Syracuse basketball's path to March Madness. With bracketologist Patrick Stevens
Podcast Episode · Syracuse Sports · 02/29/2024 · 34mpodcasts.apple.com
Ahhh the good old days when every year the committee would choose a random data point with which to weigh most heavily and you just never knew which one it was going to be. One year it would be how much did you challenge yourself in the out of conference schedule (regardless of how you fared ) the next year it would be road record , followed by “could you see this team defeat a team with full on lupine Teen wolf ?”
We need to really get some road games scheduled at Incarnate World
Yup. I like to fast forward awhile when I first turn it on. Get through all that.
No thanks to Syracuse sports insiders, Syracusefan.com gives me all the Cuse inside info I need.Maybe not “all” I need but it does give me my Orange sports fix I need.
Well our coaches should be prepared and go full court pressure till the end
Yeah that's what I was talking about
It is a long time since committee announced that they switched from RPI to NET. Since then there is no new announcement, we can assume NCAA keeps using NET to evaluate teams.
The selection committee uses it specifically for the quadrants, which is how Rutgers got in with a NET of 77. They won 6 Q1 games and that's why they got in.
Need to see a forty point bomb out on them. 96-55
