I think you're just trying to throw every dart at the board and hoping to hit some numbers.
He's an alum, a football fan. I'm sure he's scratching his head on several things from Saturday's game. But I don't think he can unilaterally make a switch when there's a buyout involved. I'd guess he puts in his recommendation and the BoT probably gives him authority to move forward.
He's also not going to make that recommendation after game 2. We're not USC, with a coach who was on the hot seat for years and years while the cross town team is making all the waves.
He sees 20,000 empty seats, and knows it's not something he can just blame on Covid.