NCAA Tournament Selection Discussion - Bubble Talk, ACC Teams, #1 Seeds, whatever you want to say | Page 5 | Syracusefan.com
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NCAA Tournament Selection Discussion - Bubble Talk, ACC Teams, #1 Seeds, whatever you want to say

djorange1989 said:
Off this subject, what do you think with SDSU? Gotta win and get the autobid today or does the New Mexico win last night get them in? They don’t have a good OOC resume this year like they usually do so it’s iffy IMO
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I get the feeling they have to win today. Although if they get in, they are certainly peaking at the right time.
 
CuseFan said:
Ole Miss is potential bid stealer, playing well after stinking all year
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The odds of them winning the next 2 games (after 3 games in 3 days) are quite low.

I have a feeling once they hit a wall in a game, it will hit hard and they get run out.

Still a great run,
 
djorange1989 said:
Off this subject, what do you think with SDSU? Gotta win and get the autobid today or does the New Mexico win last night get them in? They don’t have a good OOC resume this year like they usually do so it’s iffy IMO
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They are in the range that they could be a "surprise" pick, but its not very likely. They need to win tonight against Utah St.

The issue for SD St and MWC teams in general. is that the MWC wasn't as strong in OOC play as years previous... and that has a downward impact on NET which builds off itself in conference play.. So less Q1 opportunities within conference play.

I will also add that using the bracket matrix as a guide, MWC teams that are consensus "out" have never got in.
 
Oklahoma lost last night to Arkansas.
That should remove them from consideration as an at-large.

There are no more teams playing that can win their way into an at-large bid as far as I can tell.
It comes down to bid stealers at this point. and there are still 3 possibilities as per below. Teams most susceptible to bid stealers would appear to be SMU, Texas, Miami and VCU.

#1. SEC - Ole Miss vs Arkansas (Semi-Finals)
#2. MWC - San Diego St vs Utah St (Finals)

#3. A-10
George Washington vs St. Louis (Semi's)
St Joe's vs VCU (Semi's)
 
jncuse said:
They are in the range that they could be a "surprise" pick, but its not very likely. They need to win tonight against Utah St.

The issue for SD St and MWC teams in general. is that the MWC wasn't as strong in OOC play as years previous... and that has a downward impact on NET which builds off itself in conference play.. So less Q1 opportunities within conference play.

I will also add that using the bracket matrix as a guide, MWC teams that are consensus "out" have never got in.
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100% agree
 
djorange1989 said:
100% agree
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San Diego St may be closer than I had suggested earlier.

I’m not deep diving for the most part this year, largely relying on matrix for general assessments knowing they are not always 100% right.

But for those 31 brackets that have been updated today consider yesterdays games,

Texas is last im with 18 of 31.
San Diego is first our at 11 of 31.

So it’s pretty split on last spot between the two.
 
Ole Miss up 3 against Arkansas with 15 minutes to go.

And Vandy upset Florida earlier.

Could it happen?
 
jncuse said:
San Diego St may be closer than I had suggested earlier.

I’m not deep diving for the most part this year, largely relying on matrix for general assessments knowing they are not always 100% right.

But for those 31 brackets that have been updated today consider yesterdays games,

Texas is last im with 18 of 31.
San Diego is first our at 11 of 31.

So it’s pretty split on last spot between the two.
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Thanks for doing the homework. Their “best” OOC win is a bad one: Oregon, when they normally have a strong P4 win or two on their resume so I am guessing they have to take out Utah State today to get in
 
Stepping out of bounds down 3 with 27 seconds to go.
That was probably the death blow for Ole Miss.

So down to two bubble busters:
Dayton vs VCU
San Diego St vs Utah St

Now it is possible if VCU loses they got knocked out.
San Diego St has a small % chance of already being in as at-large, but it is unlikely. Utah St would get in.
 
Jackass Joe has the Johnnies as a #5 seed in the East. As horrible as he is at this he really sucks at predicting seeds.
 
Since we all know the committee are lazy phlucks I bet they have the bracket already done and are not working today. The B1G and SEC results mean nothing to them. There's four variations all locked in regarding the AAC and A10. A. The one where VCU and USF win today. B. The one with a Dayton and USF win. C. The one with a VCU and Wichita St win. D. The one with a Dayton and Wichita St win.
 
kirbivore said:
Since we all know the committee are lazy phlucks I bet they have the bracket already done and are not working today. The B1G and SEC results mean nothing to them. There's four variations all locked in regarding the AAC and A10. A. The one where VCU and USF win today. B. The one with a Dayton and USF win. C. The one with a VCU and Wichita St win. D. The one with a Dayton and Wichita St win.
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Lazy? Sounds smart to me. I spent my entire career front-loading my work week so I could have an easy friday. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
 
kirbivore said:
Since we all know the committee are lazy phlucks I bet they have the bracket already done and are not working today. The B1G and SEC results mean nothing to them. There's four variations all locked in regarding the AAC and A10. A. The one where VCU and USF win today. B. The one with a Dayton and USF win. C. The one with a VCU and Wichita St win. D. The one with a Dayton and Wichita St win.
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VCU has decent chances of getting as an at-large. It probably helps that at the beginning of the week they were in the at-large pool.

I don't think South Florida is unfortunately. And it doesn't help that they were not in the at-large pool until today. They probably were not deep dived into, and its too late now. I'd prefer them, or any mid in that situation over other P4's, but that is the nature of what the committee does.
 
jncuse said:
VCU has decent chances of getting as an at-large. It probably helps that at the beginning of the week they were in the at-large pool.

I don't think South Florida is unfortunately. And it doesn't help that they were not in the at-large pool until today. They probably were not deep dived into, and its too late now. I'd prefer them, or any mid in that situation over other P4's, but that is the nature of what the committee does.
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Looking forward to weeks of "GMac made the tournament and Hodgson didn't!" if that happens.
 
tptcuse said:
Looking forward to weeks of "GMac made the tournament and Hodgson didn't!" if that happens.
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Wouldn’t it be delicious if they both made it and had to compete in the play-in against each other? Winner take all!!!!
 
CuseFaninVT said:
Wouldn’t it be delicious if they both made it and had to compete in the play-in against each other? Winner take all!!!!
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I'll be that nerd.
Siena as a projected 15/16, could only play in one of the 16/16 games.
If USF gets in it will probably need to be an auto-bid, so they wouldn't be in a play in game.
 
I don't think USF will make it as an-large. but they are close enough that they would go on my Selection Show Cheat sheet, as one of the "9 teams for 4 spots", or whatever I end up determining as that group before the show.
 

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