Nova opens -9.5 over Cuse…

[690West]

That’s salada points!

ML at +350 which implies a 22% chance of SU winning outright.

 

[bballbeadle]

Ouch! But I get it.

 

[AZOrange]

Taking the over 145.5

 

[pearl31]

kenpom: nova by 8, 78% chance to win

 

[realorange]

Taking the over 145.5

It will need to be way over if we are going to win.

 

[CousCuse]

It will need to be way over if we are going to win.

IF?

 

[jncuse]

Taking the over 145.5

I was initially going to go over, but I have switched to leaning on under (or not betting it). And that seems to be where the line is going -- it has drawn down to 143.5.


Both teams have really good offences, but Villanova has a really slow adjusted tempo (#347 in the country per KP).

I can see Wright being deliberate in trying to break down our defence which may be a bit different than he normally sees. So their tempo will probably be a bit lower than normal.

And I can see Boeheim trying to keep the possessions down in the matchup, seeing it as the best chance to win. Our tempo (#88) has actually been quite high this year relative to prior years).

Could be one of those games that both offences are fairly efficient but the scoring is not that high

 

[NineOneSeven]

Broken over the Bills last night, this would help

 

[UpstateSM]

Way too many points JB isn’t getting blown out tonight

 

[OrangeYaGladi]

Broken over the Bills last night, this would help

Hopefully won’t be so windy at MSG

 

[UD1954]

Nova will get open jumpers... hitting them will determine our fate good or bad.