Per ESPN

[JustPherU]

Is there a correlation between the Vegas line and the game results that I am not aware of?

All them hotels weren’t built because Vegas was wrong most of the time.
Seems as if they are begging you to take the Cuse.

 

[orangeinnyc]

What earlier mistakes??

Vegas' sole objective is to try to balance the action on both sides of the betting line.
Period. Full stop.

The lines rise and fall until some semblance of that balance is achieved.

Houston has been Top 25 all season, 2 seed, won a lot of games.
(most of which against the crap AAC, but whatever)

OF COURSE they are going to be favored.

Could they beat us by 7 or more?
Absolutely.
Will they?
That's why they play the games.


I'll refer back to my post from another thread, so you can see the actual stats for the NCAA teams IN MARCH.

Houston is 4th overall.
We're 3rd O, 5th D.

BUT - the biggest difference is, the quality (or lack therof, for the Cougars) that those stats were compiled against.

Houston Pregame Analysis

I have not seen Houston play this year except the Rutgers game. They're certainly physical, but not intimidating in size. They should've lost to Rutgers, if not for Rutgers well... being Rutgers (choke job). If we can penetrate and Quincy brings his A game, I think we can beat this team. We...

syracusefan.com

I’m not sure what your getting at here. I’m commenting on the spread being so high and Vegas being wrong on the Syracuse lines so far. I know for a fact ppl hammered the cuse lines on his book and he got killed on it.

 

[721Comstock]

All them hotels weren’t built because Vegas was wrong most of the time.
Seems as if they are begging you to take the Cuse.

Doesn't matter whether Vegas is "wrong" or not.

They get paid the Vig, either way.

It's the bettors who actually pay out the bets, back and forth to each other.

 

[ElwoodJBlues]

Cuse ML and Cuse spread are both really enticing.

 

[JustPherU]

Doesn't matter whether Vegas is "wrong" or not.

They get paid the Vig, either way.

It's the bettors who actually pay out the bets, back and forth to each other.

They do seem to bait you in though.
I started running football parlays in fifth grade and have been around gamblers for over 50 years, very few are good at sports betting.

 

[UpstateSM]

Exactly if I am 50-55% I am ecstatic.
Nobody is consistently better than 60%.

That’s why I don’t get nervous when someone I respect as a capper picks against us

 

[All4SU]

Which makes this even more surprising. You’d think Vegas learned from their earlier mistakes

What are the odds they are wrong?

 

[upperdeck]

Doesn't matter whether Vegas is "wrong" or not.

They get paid the Vig, either way.

It's the bettors who actually pay out the bets, back and forth to each other.

why does that matter? only means something good for them when the bets are pretty equal

 

[orangeinnyc]

What are the odds they are wrong?

I am not sure what you mean

 

[Cusefan0307]

 

[GoSU96]

View attachment 198823

SU is almost always a tough out

 

[dasher]

All them hotels weren’t built because Vegas was wrong most of the time.
Seems as if they are begging you to take the Cuse.

the casinos weren't built on sports game betting. They were built on table games and slots. Now, they wouldn't have the sports gambling if they didn't make money but it's the table games that built casinos.

 

[TODDNTEXAS]

jncuse broke it down.
Vegas uses the Ken Pomeroy information in making the lines.
Pomroy has Houston as a 7 point favorite.

Vegas opened it at Houston -6.5.
It’s down to 6.

Too bad Pomeroy doesn't account for the deer in the headlights look that both San Diego and West Virgina had against the 'Cuse defense. It was as if they expected to be playing lunchtime YMCA dudes playing zone defense and were just salivating at the thought. Then, they met the Kraken!

 

[Madbiker]

Lunardi is picking Syracuse to defeat Houston and move on. That's the kiss of death.

 

[All4SU]

Lunardi is picking Syracuse to defeat Houston and move on. That's the kiss of death.

 

[JustPherU]

the casinos weren't built on sports game betting. They were built on table games and slots. Now, they wouldn't have the sports gambling if they didn't make money but it's the table games that built casinos.

I agree , I didn’t say they were built on losing sports betters.
They were built off suckers. My point was that the line on SU +6- is very enticing and called a bait line by the sharps.

 

[AZOrange]

Vegas is almost ALWAYS on the money with their lines. Def a bit concerning IMo

Huh? I mean what?

 

[AZOrange]

Cuse ML and Cuse spread are both really enticing.

I kinda like a parlay of that and the over. Three bets

 

[dasher]

I agree , I didn’t say they were built on losing sports betters.
They were built off suckers. My point was that the line on SU +6- is very enticing and called a bait line by the sharps.

All the casino wants is 1/2 the money to go on Houston and 1/2 the money to go on Syracuse. Anything that is different than that, they can lose money. They don't like to lose money. They don't like to risk money when they don't have to.

 

[AZOrange]

All the casino wants is 1/2 the money to go on Houston and 1/2 the money to go on Syracuse. Anything that is different than that, they can lose money. They don't like to lose money. They don't like to risk money when they don't have to.

Also why is +6 a bait line? What was the spread vs SDSU? Or Iowa’s when they lost? This is silly.

 

[JustPherU]

All the casino wants is 1/2 the money to go on Houston and 1/2 the money to go on Syracuse. Anything that is different than that, they can lose money. They don't like to lose money. They don't like to risk money when they don't have to.

I’m fully aware of how they would love for all games to be bet evenly, but that is rarely the case.Tons of games are heavily loaded on one side and that’s when you might see the line jump a little.
Somebody makes the opening line of course and all I was pointing out is that it looked very enticing and sometimes the Big guys know what they are doing.

 

[dasher]

I’m fully aware of how they would love for all games to be bet evenly, but that is rarely the case.Tons of games are heavily loaded on one side and that’s when you might see the line jump a little.
Somebody makes the opening line of course and all I was pointing out is that it looked very enticing and sometimes the Big guys know what they are doing.

If I was a betting man, and I am, I would bet Syracuse. 6 1/2 seems a bit big to me. But that is why there are so many different kinds of ice cream.

 

[orangeinnyc]

Huh? I mean what?

It means the spread is a bit alarming, 6.5 is pretty big. Vegas is right alot more than they are wrong, that’s why the spread is a concerning. I think the spread is a bit high but what do I know. The ppl in Vegas who come up with it are alot smarter and better than this than us

If I was a betting man, and I am, I would bet Syracuse. 6 1/2 seems a bit big to me. But that is why there are so many different kinds of ice cream.

I agree. Im going to take cuse and the points. It does seem a bit high with the way we are playing.

 

[AZOrange]

It means the spread is a bit alarming, 6.5 is pretty big. Vegas is right alot more than they are wrong, that’s why the spread is a concerning. I think the spread is a bit high but what do I know. The ppl in Vegas who come up with it are alot smarter and better than this than us


I agree. Im going to take cuse and the points. It does seem a bit high with the way we are playing.

But the spread has nothing to do with who Vegas thinks will win...

 

[orangeinnyc]

But the spread has nothing to do with who Vegas thinks will win...

I disagree wholeheartedly. It says exactly who thinks Vegas is going to win and by how much...