Niastri
Two Time Iggy Award Winner: Edwards for Three!
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- Aug 28, 2011
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I have been thinking about what worked and didn't work in Las Vegas without Freeman available. Since it sounds like that might be our fate for a while, how are we going to score without arguably our most talented player?
I'm only going to talk about the Vegas games, because who cares how we did against the worst teams in the country, and when Freeman was playing?
This is a very weird offensive team. I think it is too simple to say they can't shoot, but maybe that's what it comes down to. The three losses in Vegas, we shot .258 from three point range and .521 from the FT line. We lost the first two games by failing to hit those shots. If the team as a whole shot their career 3 pt averages, we score an extra 6.3 points per game. If the team as a whole shot merely bad (65%) from the FT line, we score an extra 3.1, and that doesn't count missing missing numerous front ends of 1 and 1. Those 10 points were the margin of loss in two games, and Houston especially hurt because we were so bad from the FT line.
On the other hand, we shot .495 from inside the arc, a pretty good percentage. I think we took too many threes, averaging 29.7 from 3 and 31 from 2 in the Vegas games. But, looking at the tape, many of the threes were wide open "quality shots" that we should make at a high percentage. Even Kingz, who came to Syracuse off a 44% season from 3 point range shot .200 (3/15) in Las Vegas, with most of those shots being good shots.
If you are the coach, I am not sure what you can do about good shooters missing good shots at high rates. The tape shows it over and over again, a good offensive set run, a shooter getting a good shot, and a bad miss of the open three point shot. It's maddening as a fan, and it's got to be even worse as the coach.
Many of our offensive baskets come from dribble penetration, either on drive and dish or getting all the way to the basket for easy close range shots. I think at this point Kyle is our offensive MVP. In addition to shooting .714 from the floor, and pulling down 2.7 offensive rebounds per game, he seems elite at setting screens near the basket to prevent shot blockers from contesting layups at the rim. But almost as importantly, the defense seems to respect his ability to receive the pass on the drive and dish. The attention paid to Kyle during dribble penetration is letting guys like George, Starling, Anthony and Kingz get all the way to the basket for layups. I am very impressed with Kyle and his ability to affect the offense even when he only takes a small number of shots per game.
One play we seem to run very successfully is the pick and roll. We have added a little element of the Spanish Pick and Roll as well, where we have two screeners for the ball handler. One sets the primary pick, the other a back pick for the primary defender. In this case, one of the screeners pops, the other rolls to the basket. It is very hard to defend when you have an elite dunker like Kyle rim running, because you are conceding two points if you don't check him very hard. This is causing the defender on the dribbler to be forced to defend coming off a double screen on the way to the basket.
A good passer or elite penetrator (George and Starling should fit those descriptions) should be very dangerous in those conditions. Unfortunately, George had a negative assist to turnover ratio in Vegas, and only attempted 8 two point shots and 14 three pointers. He wasn't getting to the basket, and instead passing it out to 3 point shooters that missed their shots, or he turned it over. Other than George, the team had 20 turnovers combined. George really got exposed by Iowa State, but wasn't great in Vegas in general.
George attempted 0 two point shots in 28 minutes against Iowa State. Instead he had 6 assists and 7 of the teams 18 turnovers and attempted 5 threes, making only 1. One of the knocks against George coming into the season was his finishing at the rim was a little below average, and he seems to be avoiding going to the basket at this point.
Starling, on the other hand, attacked the basket well, and passed well in Vegas, with 3.3 assists and 1 turnover. His willingness ability to finish going to the rim might be the differentiator here. He scored about 10 points on 10 shots. His free throw shooting is a major problem, but he draws fouls and can get to the basket.
Similarly, Kingz and Anthony shot 6/10 and 7/14 going to the basket respectively in Vegas. As a team, we also drew a bunch of fouls going to the basket. While you could argue our FT shooting is so bad that it makes sense to foul us, no coach wants their players fouling out.
I think the team should focus a little more on the four perimeter players mentioned running the Spanish pick and roll. It is a good design for our good dribble penetration players who shoot at low percentages from 3, and emphasizes Kyle who is elite at going to the rim. Sadiq White also fits this category and should be taking minutes from Souare. I think White should be getting more than the 20 minutes per game he averaged in Vegas.
The pick and roll in general, and the pick and roll with the additional back pick gets our guys to the basket and gives Kyle and White chances to get the ball in positions to dunk, which they do at a very high level. As a secondary benefit, it will continue to give guys who should be able to hit a three chances to receive the ball in perfect shooting position and rhythm instead of taking bad, long range shots off the dribble.
We desperately need to stop always kicking it out to the open three point shooter. On most teams an open three point shot is a victory, but for us, going all the way to the basket is probably the better choice.
I'm only going to talk about the Vegas games, because who cares how we did against the worst teams in the country, and when Freeman was playing?
This is a very weird offensive team. I think it is too simple to say they can't shoot, but maybe that's what it comes down to. The three losses in Vegas, we shot .258 from three point range and .521 from the FT line. We lost the first two games by failing to hit those shots. If the team as a whole shot their career 3 pt averages, we score an extra 6.3 points per game. If the team as a whole shot merely bad (65%) from the FT line, we score an extra 3.1, and that doesn't count missing missing numerous front ends of 1 and 1. Those 10 points were the margin of loss in two games, and Houston especially hurt because we were so bad from the FT line.
On the other hand, we shot .495 from inside the arc, a pretty good percentage. I think we took too many threes, averaging 29.7 from 3 and 31 from 2 in the Vegas games. But, looking at the tape, many of the threes were wide open "quality shots" that we should make at a high percentage. Even Kingz, who came to Syracuse off a 44% season from 3 point range shot .200 (3/15) in Las Vegas, with most of those shots being good shots.
If you are the coach, I am not sure what you can do about good shooters missing good shots at high rates. The tape shows it over and over again, a good offensive set run, a shooter getting a good shot, and a bad miss of the open three point shot. It's maddening as a fan, and it's got to be even worse as the coach.
Many of our offensive baskets come from dribble penetration, either on drive and dish or getting all the way to the basket for easy close range shots. I think at this point Kyle is our offensive MVP. In addition to shooting .714 from the floor, and pulling down 2.7 offensive rebounds per game, he seems elite at setting screens near the basket to prevent shot blockers from contesting layups at the rim. But almost as importantly, the defense seems to respect his ability to receive the pass on the drive and dish. The attention paid to Kyle during dribble penetration is letting guys like George, Starling, Anthony and Kingz get all the way to the basket for layups. I am very impressed with Kyle and his ability to affect the offense even when he only takes a small number of shots per game.
One play we seem to run very successfully is the pick and roll. We have added a little element of the Spanish Pick and Roll as well, where we have two screeners for the ball handler. One sets the primary pick, the other a back pick for the primary defender. In this case, one of the screeners pops, the other rolls to the basket. It is very hard to defend when you have an elite dunker like Kyle rim running, because you are conceding two points if you don't check him very hard. This is causing the defender on the dribbler to be forced to defend coming off a double screen on the way to the basket.
A good passer or elite penetrator (George and Starling should fit those descriptions) should be very dangerous in those conditions. Unfortunately, George had a negative assist to turnover ratio in Vegas, and only attempted 8 two point shots and 14 three pointers. He wasn't getting to the basket, and instead passing it out to 3 point shooters that missed their shots, or he turned it over. Other than George, the team had 20 turnovers combined. George really got exposed by Iowa State, but wasn't great in Vegas in general.
George attempted 0 two point shots in 28 minutes against Iowa State. Instead he had 6 assists and 7 of the teams 18 turnovers and attempted 5 threes, making only 1. One of the knocks against George coming into the season was his finishing at the rim was a little below average, and he seems to be avoiding going to the basket at this point.
Starling, on the other hand, attacked the basket well, and passed well in Vegas, with 3.3 assists and 1 turnover. His willingness ability to finish going to the rim might be the differentiator here. He scored about 10 points on 10 shots. His free throw shooting is a major problem, but he draws fouls and can get to the basket.
Similarly, Kingz and Anthony shot 6/10 and 7/14 going to the basket respectively in Vegas. As a team, we also drew a bunch of fouls going to the basket. While you could argue our FT shooting is so bad that it makes sense to foul us, no coach wants their players fouling out.
I think the team should focus a little more on the four perimeter players mentioned running the Spanish pick and roll. It is a good design for our good dribble penetration players who shoot at low percentages from 3, and emphasizes Kyle who is elite at going to the rim. Sadiq White also fits this category and should be taking minutes from Souare. I think White should be getting more than the 20 minutes per game he averaged in Vegas.
The pick and roll in general, and the pick and roll with the additional back pick gets our guys to the basket and gives Kyle and White chances to get the ball in positions to dunk, which they do at a very high level. As a secondary benefit, it will continue to give guys who should be able to hit a three chances to receive the ball in perfect shooting position and rhythm instead of taking bad, long range shots off the dribble.
We desperately need to stop always kicking it out to the open three point shooter. On most teams an open three point shot is a victory, but for us, going all the way to the basket is probably the better choice.
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