This isn't fully addressing the OPs question, but I think there are too many unknowns right now to make an informed guess. A lot depends on attrition, and who gets added if anyone.
- Do we land Thompson or not?
- Do the coaches go after that Canadian big if we miss out on Taurean?
- Do we have any transfers [KJ and Chino seem the most likely candidates, but that isn't a given]
- Does Coleman return or seek to play for pay overseas? Might seem far-fetched, but if Kristof Onganet can play for pay, then Coleman could probably find a paycheck somewhere too.
Without knowing any of the four things above, it is tough to project the roster beyond the recruits we have coming in and the players we have graduating. Would love to see us go after a 1 or 3 5th year transfer if there's one out there who could help us; lots of schools have used this option to bolster their squads, and we could too. But again, we need to be down 2 scholarships next year to fulfill the terms of our NCAA sanction, so we're limited by that--no matter how anything else works out.