You do realize how truly awful Rutgers was prior to him going there, right? Is he a great X and O coach? Nope. Offensive genius? Nope. But he can recruit and he can coach defense. I agree with rather taking a flier on an unknown not panning out then going with something that is a little more proven.
Respectfully, Schiano had nothing until P was fired and SU had no coach. He was able to flip Rice and that was what brought Rutger to mediocrity. Before that, who were his star recruits? What did he do several years before that? Sure, he raked up 10 wins in one season, but look at the records of everyone that year, it was a perfect storm. His record is nothing to be impressed with and he was never the dominant coach, he was always playing weak schools to build his record. Never to be repeated in spite of the alleged great recruiting Schiano did. His recruiting classes were overrated and he never duplicated his own perfect storm performance with the alleged better recruits. Even the performance of the later classes that were recruited before he left have not panned out, part coaching and part overhype.
Add to that the manner in which he betrayed everyone, lied to kids and let's not forget that he was not one who could discover talent or coach it up, he was only able to follow the efforts of other schools on the recruiting trail He had no original ideas or ability to analyze kids. Our staff has this ability hands down! He can only fool people for so long before they will not tolerate it anymore. PSU may get fooled into hiring him, but he will be gone within 5 years if he cannot win 10+ annually. With his performance during the game, he has 3 guaranteed losses annually in UM, MSU and tOSU.
In 11 seasons, Schiao went 68 - 67.
Record.....Less three extra cupcakes
2001: 2 - 9......0
2002: 1 - 11......0
2003: 5 - 7......2
2004: 4 - 7......1
2005: 7 - 5......4
2006: 11 - 2......8
2007: 8 - 5......5
2008: 8 - 5......5
2009: 9 - 4......6
2010: 4 - 8......1
2011: 9 - 4...6
Consider that the OOC schedule was usually cupcakes, you have to deduct 5 wins annually, or if you wish to be generous and grant him 2 victories for everyone else' cupcake, that is still a record inflated by 3 cupcake wins annually, or 33 wins over the life of his record (actually 30 wins because one season he had only 1 win and one season he had only two wins). This leaves Schiano with three years of .500 or better.
PSU will look closely at this, either before hiring or after they see his scheduling philosophy and his onfield performance. Either way, he will not be the coach after 5 years. The powers that be at PSU will not tolerate losing to UM, MSU and tOSU annually. Losing games that PSU historically has won will not be tolerated. Losing to Rutgers, Maryland or Indiana will not be tolerated.
Naturally this is just my opinion, but I believe that PSU will perform serious due diligence in evaluating replacements for O'Brien.