Sports Gambling Thread

[orangenauburn]

What is o/u on Berhalter still being USMNT coach by years end/?

 

[Alsacs]

Ok, I’ve seen several different opinions here. Might head to one of the casinos tomorrow to watch and bet some NFL games. Which one is the best for betting, food, seating comfort etc. We only bet M/L and lints and parlays. Not worried about futures, props, etc half’s, etc.

Who do you like today if I can ask?

My picks are
NYG -3
LA Rams -3
Baltimore +3.5
New Orleans +4.

 

[rrlbees]

Who do you like today if I can ask?

My picks are
NYG -3
LA Rams -3
Baltimore +3.5
New Orleans +4.

As of right now not much different than yours

Giants -3
Chargers/Tenn under 42.5
Rams -3

Looking at Baltimore and Philly too.

 

[rrlbees]

As of right now not much different than yours

Giants -3
Chargers/Tenn under 42.5
Rams -3

Looking at Baltimore and Philly too.

And against my better judgement because the Bills always kill me I’m looking at the under in the Bills game. The Bills have only gone over 41.5 once. The Fins have only scored more than 10 once. Of the Fins go for 10-14, can the Bills get 28+? They’ve done it once. So it’s a consideration. But like any time I play the Bills on any bet, this score will end up being 31-17.

 

[upperdeck]

everything i read says bills first half is the play

 

[rrlbees]

everything i read says bills first half is the play

What’s the 1st half spread?

 

[690West]

What’s the 1st half spread?

buf -9.5

 

[690West]

What’s the 1st half spread?

FanDuel likes the other side

“First Half Spread: Miami Dolphins +9.5 (+100) — For as bad as Miami has been this season, they've kept things more respectable in the first half. They haven't trailed by more than seven in the first half since Week 2 against the New England Patriots. The low-scoring Buffalo Bills have failed to score even 10 first-half points in three of their five games. Those factors suggest that even if this game gets lopsided, it may not do so until the second half.”

 

[rrlbees]

At YBR. Pretty cool here. Could take a nap in these loungers.

 

[690West]

At YBR. Pretty cool here. Could take a nap in these loungers.

Yeah the chairs are comfy. Especially after a couple pumkings

 

[rrlbees]

Yeah the chairs are comfy. Especially after a couple pumkings

Even ran into the infamous OX.

 

[BuffOrange]

Of course the Lions don't cover the +8.5 teaser in a 1score game all day because why would they. I am getting my teeth kicked in with this. Fade these picks:
Jets tomorrow night and then +4.5 in Jax next week. Really not a bad football team with Darnald. Basically the Bills without a stud Corner.
GB -2.5 - I never like them on the road but KC sans Mahomes is a team with a bad defense qb'd by Matt Moore. If you strip away the uniforms & the Chiefs perennial playoff status you would think that is a bad football team. The risk here is the old gambling proverb that teams rise up the 1st game without their star so look to double down and fade them vs Minnesota in 2 weeks even if they win.

 

[STEVEHOLT]

so tell me if Im nuts. Im thinking about two ten point 3 team teasers..betting two of the games opposite ways...

bet 1
KC +7 at Denver
Colts +10 vs Houston
SanFran 0 at Washington.

Bet2
Denver+13 vs KC
Houston +10 at Colts
Sanfran 0 at Washington?

Thoughts? I really believe the denver and colts games will be within a TD either way. I see no realistic manner in which the Foreskins defeat the 49ers.

yes indeed..the bet1 hit..the best 2 was messed up by denver, but was not played thanks to the advice on this board..THANKS guys.

 

[690West]

Alright Syrfan gambling brethren, give me your thoughts. I have Houston +200 to win the series. Do I throw a small hedge on the Nats for insurance?

Or is Houston such a large favorite that the highest expected value is not hedging

 

[upperdeck]

dont the odds say that at some pt houston has to hit.

 

[BuffOrange]

Alright Syrfan gambling brethren, give me your thoughts. I have Houston +200 to win the series. Do I throw a small hedge on the Nats for insurance?

Or is Houston such a large favorite that the highest expected value is not hedging

I prefer defaulting to the dog in baseball & hockey just because of the randomness. But also hedging is overrated imo unless it's life changing $ or you like the other side to begin with.

 

[690West]

I prefer defaulting to the dog in baseball & hockey just because of the randomness. But also hedging is overrated imo unless it's life changing $ or you like the other side to begin with.

Yeah. Its $50 to make $150. lol. But I thought it would be fun to get the boards opinion on the strategy. I think I agree with you.

 

[kirbivore]

Of course the Lions don't cover the +8.5 teaser in a 1score game all day because why would they. I am getting my teeth kicked in with this. Fade these picks:
Jets tomorrow night and then +4.5 in Jax next week. Really not a bad football team with Darnald. Basically the Bills without a stud Corner.
GB -2.5 - I never like them on the road but KC sans Mahomes is a team with a bad defense qb'd by Matt Moore. If you strip away the uniforms & the Chiefs perennial playoff status you would think that is a bad football team. The risk here is the old gambling proverb that teams rise up the 1st game without their star so look to double down and fade them vs Minnesota in 2 weeks even if they win.

I did a 3 team parlay of UNDERS (Bills/Dolphins, Raiders/Packers, Titans/Chargers) that all lost. The odds of going 0-3 are the same as 3-0 lol.

 

[Alsacs]

Monday play and it’s good I am not playing to break even on this game.
Too many points for Darnold and the Jets.
Give me NYJ +10.
I think New England will win the game but see this as a 24-17 type game.
If I was playing to get even I would parlay the points and the under but I will just take the points and hope my team wins by 1 score.

 

[kirbivore]

Yeah. Its $50 to make $150. lol. But I thought it would be fun to get the boards opinion on the strategy. I think I agree with you.

When did you make that Houston bet?

 

[690West]

When did you make that Houston bet?

3 weeks ago.

 

[Arangeman]

Yeah. Its $50 to make $150. lol. But I thought it would be fun to get the boards opinion on the strategy. I think I agree with you.

Wash is +180? Not worth hedging. Maybe kick the tires on it if there is an elimination game. Still prolly get +$ on Wash in a game 6-7. You are in good shape.

I don’t believe you just hedge if it’s “life changing money.” Guarantee yourself a profit if it makes sense.

 

[690West]

Wash is +180? Not worth hedging. Maybe kick the tires on it if there is an elimination game. Still prolly get +$ on Wash in a game 6-7. You are in good shape.

I don’t believe you just hedge if it’s “life changing money.” Guarantee yourself a profit if it makes sense.

Great call. I forgot hedging strategy is a little different with a series vs. a national championship game or Superbowl with just one game. I think I'll wait a little while. I'm rooting hard the Nationals from a non betting standpoint, so it'll be one of those weeks.

 

[STEVEHOLT]

Alright Syrfan gambling brethren, give me your thoughts. I have Houston +200 to win the series. Do I throw a small hedge on the Nats for insurance?

Or is Houston such a large favorite that the highest expected value is not hedging

In situations like this I prefer to go a bit risky and hedge only if Washington goes down in the series 0-1 .. then you’ll be really getting bang for your buck

 

[upperdeck]

Looking at the AFC who can win it if someone were to take out NE..

Bills/Colts at 10+ to 1

I dont think KC will play enough D, but likely to make the playoffs

Houston maybe at 12-1

Dont like Balt at all.

but the Jags at 65-1 intrigues me just because they might sneak in at 8-8.

Bills finish strong they could be #1 wildcard and possibly avoid NE with some luck until the finals.