Fly Rodder
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This is the first season with the 30 second shot clock. Previous seasons, teams have had issues with patience and finding quality shots against the zone using 35 seconds. I would expect that nearly all college regulars have an accurate internal clock so that they feel when time is getting short. Losing that extra 5 seconds seems to have affected at least a few teams this season. Now throw in the press, which can eat another 4-8 seconds off the clock. A team that can get the ball into the half court set against Syracuse now has only 22-24 seconds to get an offense set up compared to what has usually been 30-35 seconds.
I don't how much it has been affecting teams, but the press seems to have upset teams' rhythm quite dramatically in the last two games and I wonder if the reduced shot clock this season factors into it at all.
Edited to add: Prior to making this post, I didn't see this interesting article from Luke Winn in October where he specifically talks about the shot clock and the 2-3 zone of Syracuse:
I don't how much it has been affecting teams, but the press seems to have upset teams' rhythm quite dramatically in the last two games and I wonder if the reduced shot clock this season factors into it at all.
Edited to add: Prior to making this post, I didn't see this interesting article from Luke Winn in October where he specifically talks about the shot clock and the 2-3 zone of Syracuse:
So, what defense gets teams in late possession shots?There's a reason this is a big deal: Getting jammed up against the shot-clock deadline is a highly inefficient situation for an offense, and thus an attractive goal for a defense. College offenses are horrible—scoring just 0.703 PPP!—when up against the shot-clock deadline. They're horrible in comparison to other college scoring situations, and bad even in comparison to the NBA's under-four-second efficiency this season, which was 0.767 PPP. (NBA players, as you'd expect, are better at late-clock, one-on-one shot creation.)
And the money:That brings us to the (obvious) next question: What defense scheme is best suited for grinding out the shot clock? Conventional wisdom seems to be that zone defenses take longer to score against. I suspect that this is because Syracuse is the program most associated with zoning, and Syracuse's 2-3 zone requires opponents to work at length to find scoring opportunities. But across all of D-I, does playing more zone necessarily result in longer defensive possessions?
Under the new shot clock, presses like San Diego State's (or VCU's, or Louisville's, or Florida's, if it continues post-Billy Donovan) could prevent opponents from initiating offense until there's only 20 seconds left to shoot. That's enough time to run a couple of actions; if they don't yield good scoring looks, the dreaded, low-efficiency, up-against-the-deadline situation arises. And how many college teams have a killer isolation player who can bail them out of trouble? The 30-second shot-clock could trigger the spike in scoring that college hoops needs, but it could just as likely bring rise to a formidable army of press-n-grinders and Syracuse copycats, eating up time and forcing panicked heaves before the buzzer. It's far too early to concede this war to the offenses.
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