SWC75
Bored Historian
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- Aug 26, 2011
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I normally don’t go into a deep dive on the recruits until I do my preview in the fall but I think that this class that is being brought in is critical to the program at this juncture. This new group, together with the class of 2023 that is now being recruited, will be the nucleus of the SU basketball program for the next few years while we try to come back from this. They may also be inherited by the next coach and have a lot to do with his success, or the lack of it.
I put each of their names: Quadir Copeland, (#143 nationally/#21 combo guard per 247), Justin Taylor, (#108/#26 small forward), Chris Bunch, (#96/#25 small forward), Maliq Brown (#235/#50 power forward), and Peter Carey, (#264/#59 power forward), into search engine and read everything in the first five pages. I clicked on “videos” and watched everything that came up. I then went our basketball recruiting page and read through the threads on each player.
Reading the threads was an interesting exercise. The pattern as that the interest of the player in the schools and the school in the player was reported and our posters would begin wondering who they were and start to collect information and videos. There would be comparisons to other prospects and debates about which ones we wanted. Many posters were very enthusiastic about Quadir, Justin, Chris, Maliq and Peter. Others preferred other targets, such as Dior Johnson, (#23/4th point guard) who committed to us and backed out and will be playing for Oregon, Zion Cruz (#38/#2 shooting guard) who is going to DePaul, JJ Starling (#30/#5 combo guard), a local kid who opted for Notre Dame, Chance Westry (#31/#9 small forward) who committed to rising power Auburn, Kamari Lands (#47/#13 small forward), who also committed and then backed out before choosing Louisville, Kyle Filipowski, (#3/#2 center) – Duke, of course, and Donovan Clingan (#43/#10 center) who will play for our old pals, the Connecticut Huskies. A more recent development has been our attempts to coax Judah Mintz, (#53/#9 combo guard), who will probably announce next week and is said to favor joining Zion Cruz at DePaul, which is obviously making a big comeback. What a class we could have made of five of them!
As the higher rated recruits broke away the focus became getting commitments from the five guys we got. Praise for them increased. The highlight films were reviewed and created excitement, (that’s what highlight films are designed to do). There was a lot of tension, hoping and even praying as each kid made their decision. When they finally decided on Syracuse, there was joyous celebration and congratulations to Jim Boeheim and the staff, (mostly Gerry McNamara) and all the hard work they did. There were stories about their visiting the player’s games frequently, (they were pointed out in the stands in some videos and pictures), of Jim Boeheim picking up a player himself at the Syracuse airport and having him over for a barbeque, maintaining contact with texts and other social media, etc. The future was secured.
Then the SU basketball season started. We lost too many early games and the team’s limitations were constantly discussed. Posters soured not just on the team but the coaching staff. This seemed to invade the threads on the new recruits. Their strengths stopped being discussed and their limitations or questions were emphasized. The belief that the new class’s mediocrity compared to the guys we have/should have gotten guaranteed that the program will continue to be mediocre at best. At worst, the same things that happened to the football program in the 2000’s and the lacrosse program in the teens was now happening to the basketball program: it was falling apart. The coaches were now blamed for not doing enough to get the real blue chippers. That old picture of Jim Boeheim falling asleep at a summer league game in a high school gym was summoned up to represent Jim’s supposed attitude toward recruiting and the future of the program in general. His statement about this being a “great season” despite a 16-17 record because he got to coach his sons was thrown onto the fire. Things were pretty bleak and the supposed mediocrity of the new class was said to symbolize it.
I decided to develop my own opinions of these players, hopefully without an agenda other than my natural fan’s position of hoping for the best. The first thing I did was to click on the “history” buttons on 247. I found that in the past Justin Taylor has been ranked as high as #48 nationally, Chris Bunch as high as #70 and Maliq Brown as high as #81. Copeland has never gotten higher than #140 and Carey wasn’t even rated until 10/21/21 and his rating has not changed. A big factor has been the pandemic, which canceled season and limited other means of exposure such as camps and AAU ball. Peter Carey missed one season due to the pandemic and this past year due to an injury. The experts can’t rate or re-rate players they didn’t see. Still, hopeful predictions that our guys were going to “blow-up” in the ratings have yet to come true.
The ratings have always been controversial. They are basically a snapshot of a player at a moment early in his development. Some guys are good at that point but never get better. Some could get better but aren’t coachable or get in trouble or don’t hit the books or get injured. Other guys get steadily better or sometimes suddenly better. Sherman Douglas was an “under-the-radar” guy when he committed and a McDonald’s All-American by the time he arrived here. I still remember thinking we’d recruited a new “Fab Five” in 1996 with #6 Winfred Walton, #19 Ramel Lloyd, #38 LeSean Howard, #48 Jason Hart and #64 Etan Thomas. Walton never played for us and his career petered out. Lloyd left after one year and Howard after two without cracking the starting line-up. The two lowest rated guys stayed for four years and were part of a team as seniors that won their first 19 games, rose to a #2 national ranking and gave national champion Michigan State a scare in their own back yard. Oshae Brissett was #137 nationally and the #30 small forward and averaged 14.9 points and 8.8 rebounds as a freshman. Benny Williams was #32/#8 at the same position and as a freshman here averaged 1.9 points and 1.4 rebounds. Two years ago there was a point guard battle between Jalen Carey (#61/#7), Brycen Goodine (#97/#15) and Joe Girard (#202/#29) and Joe won. Joe in three years has scored 1,126 points and dished out 350 assists. Jalen: 323/67, Brycen: 110/26. Buddy Boeheim #349/#77 just led the ACC in scoring and his unrated brother Jimmy scored 28 points on Duke.
Basketball’s popularity has been expanding steadily since the 1960’s. More and more people have been playing the game and instruction has gotten better and earlier. It may be that these days a #50 guy is as good as a #20 used to be and a #100 guy might be as good as a #50 guy used to be and a #200 guy might be as good as a #100 guy used to be. Maybe that 1996 class wasn’t as much better than the 2022 class and the rankings made it seem. Also, the difference between rankings may get progressively smaller as you go down the list. The top 5-10 guys are the real blue chips who might be All-Americans as freshmen and then jump to the NBA. The next 20 guys might be about the same and the next 30-40 guys might be about the same and the next 50-60 guys might be about the same, etc.
Or maybe I’m just trying to rationalize what we missed out on and what we wound up with. A school that consistently recruits top 100 players will be consistently better than a school that doesn’t. A school that consistently recruits top 50 players will usually beat them and a school like Duke that has a line-up full of McDonald’s All-Americans will be hard for anyone to deal with. We are the school with the largest arena and largest crowds, no competition from pro sports, a Hall of Fame coach and, until recently, the longest streak of winning seasons in the country. Why should we be excited about a five-man class of players ranked #96, #108, #143, #235 and #264?
The next step was to look again at the highlight films and see what conclusions could be drawn. Some disclaimers: I’m a sucker for a good highlight film. They are highlight films, not lowlight films, All the shots go in and all the passes go right to the intended guy. Many of them contain no defensive plays. (Were there any?) It could be argued that a lowlight film might tell us more about a player. The competition is high school and prep school kids, not college kids. Big guys vs. no big guys doesn’t tell you much. But most action clips are against top teams or against top players at a camp or competition, so they might mean something. In the end you look for traits and skills that look like they might convert to college ball. Also, my theory is that if I see a player do something good, he’s not going to lose the ability to do that, even if he doesn’t do it in another clip or a game somebody watched.
Here’s a summary of each player’s tapes along with a links to what I considered to be the most interesting ones: