Tracking the ACC vs Other Leagues (2025/2026)

[jncuse]

SEC this year vs last year

Q4 Margin: 29.6 (2025) vs 27.9 (2024)
Q1 Margin: negative 7.4 (2025) vs positive 2.7 (2024 - next best was negative 4.0)
Q1 Win%: - 18% vs 60% (next best in 2024 was 36%)
Q1+Q2: 31% vs 69% (next best in 2024 was 44%
Against Other Powers - 38% vs 76% (next best was B10 at 50%)

Its only 16 head to head matchups compared to 89.
But 6-10 compared to 67-22 is a massive difference.

They are not going to come close to 67-22.

Still doing well in margin game so it hasn't been a disaster for them... but they might just be a 8 or 9 bid league this year.

 

[jncuse]

SEC this year vs last year

Q4 Margin: 29.6 (2025) vs 27.9 (2024)
Q1 Margin: negative 7.4 (2025) vs positive 2.7 (2024 - next best was negative 4.0)
Q1 Win%: - 18% vs 60% (next best in 2024 was 36%)
Q1+Q2: 31% vs 69% (next best in 2024 was 44%
Against Other Powers - 38% vs 76% (next best was B10 at 50%)

Its only 16 head to head matchups compared to 89.
But 6-10 compared to 67-22 is a massive difference.

They are not going to come close to 67-22.

Still doing well in margin game so it hasn't been a disaster for them... but they might just be a 8 or 9 bid league this year.

And now the ACC
Q4 Margin: 28.3 (2025) vs 19.2 (2024)
Q1 Margin: 0.5 (2025) vs negative 8.8
Q1 Win%: - 38% vs 20%
Q1+Q2: 46% vs 26%
Against Other Powers - 44% (6-7) vs 26% (20-54)

As a note Q1 win% doesn't look great, but its rare for conference to be 50% or above. That is because some games are Q1 for road teams, and Q2 for home teams.

The big improvement so far is margin.
But still doing far better in tougher matchups -- next few weeks will be telling in this regard.