UNCs number aren't really to far off from our own numbers. The 2 big discrepancies are scoring and turnovers. Otherwise everything is near equal with UNC having some better numbers.
We have something like 700 more yards but our per play is 5.8 and UNCs is 5.6
They get 406 yards per game, we're at 462. We also give up 402. They only give up 384.
They have a higher rushing average 5.2 to 4.9, passing is 217 them to 235 us. But they've given up fewer sacks.
The game on paper imo is close. UNC has 13 turnovers (we have 6). What happens if UNC doesn't turn the ball over?
Its cliche but I think it really comes down to who takes care of the ball. If we turn it over and give up special team or defensive scores we're toast just like the Pitt game.
I had UNC winning in August. Hope I'm wrong UNC 27-24