SWC75
Bored Historian
- Joined
- Aug 26, 2011
- Messages
- 33,485
- Like
- 64,468
- I heard predictions for the game on Orange Nation today. They figured this game was a walk-over. One prediction had us scoring 70 points. Somebody asked if the clock would be kept running in the second half, as it was against Wagner two years ago. Another wondered how many SU quarterbacks would have TD passes in this game. He predicted three. This is the school where Bob Chesney made his name. They were 32-9 in this decade before losing three nail-biters this year. They’ve lost some good players, but not all of them. They have plenty of pride and will have read or heard about predictions like the ones I heard.
- Their stats, (below), suggest that they are an aggressive, opportunistic team that will take advantage of any lapses.
- Jordan Fuller is gone but sophomore Jayden Clerveaux, (6-0 222), may be better. I’ll bet he hits hard.
- Watch out for those deep passes they love to throw, (see below). Off of our first three games, they’ll have plenty of time. We don’t get to the quarterback.
- What aspects of the SU team have impressed you this year. Kyle McCord and the passing game, (if we can protect him). Jack Stonehouse’s punts, (he can get them off). What else. When have we looked like a name-the-score juggernaut?
- Our teams seems down, moreso than just because they lost. Fran Brown came from Georgia, where they lose only to Alabama. Kyle McCord came from Ohio State, where they lose only to Michigan. This team expected to be on a roll, at least through the NC State game, maybe all the way to Miami. Are they angry and determined? Are they DART? Or are they just confused?
Stats that favor Holy Cross:
OFFENSIVE RUSHING YARDS SU- 95.30 HC – 149.30
OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER COMPLETION SU- 12.49 HC – 16.78
OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER ATTEMPT SU- 8.39 HC – 10.07
SACKS ALLOWED SU- 6 HC - 4
TOTAL DEFENSIVE YARDS SU- 390.07 HC – 367.50
DEFENSIVE RUSHING YARDS SU- 182.30 HC – 128.00
DEFENSIVE AVERAGE ON RUNNING PLAYS ( - SACKS) SU – 6.39 HC – 4.62
SACKS SU- 5 HC - 7
TACKLES FOR A LOSS SU- 18 HC – 25
BLOCKED KICKS SU - 0 HC - 2
OPPONENT KICKOFFS THAT WERE RETURNED SU- 4/6 = 50.00% HC – 14/21 = 66.67%
PUNT RETURNS SU- 2.00 HC – 6.25
PUNTS RETURNED SU- 3/11 = 27.27% HC – 3/17 = 17.64%
OPPONENT PUNTS RETURNED SU- 4/7 = 66.67% HC - 4/12 = 33.33%
LONGEST FG SU- 33 HC - 45
40 YARDS + SU- 0/1 = 00.00% HC – 1/3 = 33.33%
TURNOVER MARGIN SU- 3/3 = 0 HC - 2/7 = +5
The Crusaders are ahead of us in stats. But, of course, they are an FCS team and we are an FBS team. In fact, all their opponents have been FCS: Rhode Island, (rated #32 IN FCS, per Brian Simmons’ ratings, below), who they lost to 17-20, New Hampshire, (#29), who they lost to to 20-21, Bryant (#117), whom they beat 43-22 and Yale, (#26), who the lost to 31-38. Thus all their numbers are suspect to an FBS team.
The stats that jump out at me are their yards per pass completion and attempt. 16.78 and 10.07 are very unusual. Usually numbers like that come from wishbone teams, who draw the defense up to the line of scrimmage with their horizontal running game and occasionally burn them by throwing deep. But the Crusaders run a balanced offense. In four games, Joe Pesansky is 52/87 for 875 yards and 4 TDs. That’s 22 throws a game. He just likes to throw deep – and completes 60% with only 1 interception and 4 sacks in 4 games. His top receiver, Jacob Peterson, averages 16.5 yards per catch. Max Mosey averages 22.8, Charley Mullaly 17.0 and Maxwell Warren caught one pass for 74 yards.
They’ve lost their star running back, Jordan Fuller, but his replacement, Jayden Clerveaux, has a higher average per carry, (4.5-4.1) and the same number of TDs, 4, in fewer carries (35 vs. 62), so their running numbers may hold up despite Fuller’s injury.
They are also +5 on turnovers thanks to five fumble recovers in 4 games. We have none. They also have more sacks, TFLs and blocked kicks. These guys go after it.
- Their stats, (below), suggest that they are an aggressive, opportunistic team that will take advantage of any lapses.
- Jordan Fuller is gone but sophomore Jayden Clerveaux, (6-0 222), may be better. I’ll bet he hits hard.
- Watch out for those deep passes they love to throw, (see below). Off of our first three games, they’ll have plenty of time. We don’t get to the quarterback.
- What aspects of the SU team have impressed you this year. Kyle McCord and the passing game, (if we can protect him). Jack Stonehouse’s punts, (he can get them off). What else. When have we looked like a name-the-score juggernaut?
- Our teams seems down, moreso than just because they lost. Fran Brown came from Georgia, where they lose only to Alabama. Kyle McCord came from Ohio State, where they lose only to Michigan. This team expected to be on a roll, at least through the NC State game, maybe all the way to Miami. Are they angry and determined? Are they DART? Or are they just confused?
Stats that favor Holy Cross:
OFFENSIVE RUSHING YARDS SU- 95.30 HC – 149.30
OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER COMPLETION SU- 12.49 HC – 16.78
OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER ATTEMPT SU- 8.39 HC – 10.07
SACKS ALLOWED SU- 6 HC - 4
TOTAL DEFENSIVE YARDS SU- 390.07 HC – 367.50
DEFENSIVE RUSHING YARDS SU- 182.30 HC – 128.00
DEFENSIVE AVERAGE ON RUNNING PLAYS ( - SACKS) SU – 6.39 HC – 4.62
SACKS SU- 5 HC - 7
TACKLES FOR A LOSS SU- 18 HC – 25
BLOCKED KICKS SU - 0 HC - 2
OPPONENT KICKOFFS THAT WERE RETURNED SU- 4/6 = 50.00% HC – 14/21 = 66.67%
PUNT RETURNS SU- 2.00 HC – 6.25
PUNTS RETURNED SU- 3/11 = 27.27% HC – 3/17 = 17.64%
OPPONENT PUNTS RETURNED SU- 4/7 = 66.67% HC - 4/12 = 33.33%
LONGEST FG SU- 33 HC - 45
40 YARDS + SU- 0/1 = 00.00% HC – 1/3 = 33.33%
TURNOVER MARGIN SU- 3/3 = 0 HC - 2/7 = +5
The Crusaders are ahead of us in stats. But, of course, they are an FCS team and we are an FBS team. In fact, all their opponents have been FCS: Rhode Island, (rated #32 IN FCS, per Brian Simmons’ ratings, below), who they lost to 17-20, New Hampshire, (#29), who they lost to to 20-21, Bryant (#117), whom they beat 43-22 and Yale, (#26), who the lost to 31-38. Thus all their numbers are suspect to an FBS team.
The stats that jump out at me are their yards per pass completion and attempt. 16.78 and 10.07 are very unusual. Usually numbers like that come from wishbone teams, who draw the defense up to the line of scrimmage with their horizontal running game and occasionally burn them by throwing deep. But the Crusaders run a balanced offense. In four games, Joe Pesansky is 52/87 for 875 yards and 4 TDs. That’s 22 throws a game. He just likes to throw deep – and completes 60% with only 1 interception and 4 sacks in 4 games. His top receiver, Jacob Peterson, averages 16.5 yards per catch. Max Mosey averages 22.8, Charley Mullaly 17.0 and Maxwell Warren caught one pass for 74 yards.
They’ve lost their star running back, Jordan Fuller, but his replacement, Jayden Clerveaux, has a higher average per carry, (4.5-4.1) and the same number of TDs, 4, in fewer carries (35 vs. 62), so their running numbers may hold up despite Fuller’s injury.
They are also +5 on turnovers thanks to five fumble recovers in 4 games. We have none. They also have more sacks, TFLs and blocked kicks. These guys go after it.
