Why Syracuse Will Win | Syracusefan.com

Why Syracuse Will Win

SWC75

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- This will be the third straight opponent without much of a pass rush: 2 sacks in two games. Kyle McCord and his buddies will jump on them and stay out in front until we know this cake is done.

- To have the season we want to have, it’s not enough to have McCord put on a show. We need to improve in basically every other area – and we will. Stanford has great numbers against the running game but I still think we’ll find a way to get 150+ rushing yards, convert 3rd and short and complete drives for scores.

- Elic will have plenty of company wherever he goes. Nobody else on Stanford’s offense scares me. But we haven’t been forcing turnovers. That’s what can really break games open. That’s why our first two games were closer than they seemed to be to watch them: we were having to earn all our points. I expect Mr. Diggs to become more and more of a factor. It’s time to make big plays, not just plays, on defense.

- I don’t think we’ll see another game as bad as the GT game on the special teams front. I was impressed with the fact that the coaching staff was able to patch up the line in-game and shut off the penetration to the kicker, leading to what turned out to be the winning field goal. I think Brady Denaberg and Jack Stonehouse will keep Mr. Bachmeier out of the box score.


2-0 and 10 + to go!

LET’S GO ORANGE!


Stats that favor Syracuse:
TOTAL OFFENSIVE YARDS SU- 497.50 ST – 361.50
OFFENSIVE FIRST DOWNS SU- 26.00 ST – 19.50
OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS SU- 367.50 ST – 241.50
OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER COMPLETION SU- 12.45 ST – 10.98
OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER ATTEMPT SU- 8.55 ST – 7.32
OFFENSIVE PASSING EFFICIENCY SU- 168.77 ST – 150.11
OFFENSIVE 3RD AND 4TH DOWN PERCENTAGE SU- 62.85 ST – 39.39
OFFENSIVE RED ZONE POINTS (extra points assumed) SU- 62/10 = 6.20 ST – 55/11 = 5.00
TACKLES FOR A LOSS ALLOWED SU- 5 ST - 17
DEFENSIVE PASSING YARDS SU- 223.50 ST – 278.50
DEFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER COMPLETION SU- 9.51 ST – 11.37
DEFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER ATTEMPT SU- 6.39 ST – 7.74
DEFENSIVE PASSING EFFICIENCY SU- 122.64 ST – 144.01
DEFENSIVE RED ZONE POINTS SU- 30/14 = 2.14 ST – 31/7 = 4.43
SACKS SU- 4 ST - 2
DEFENSIVE TOUCHDOWNS SU - 0 ST – 0
OPPONENT KICKOFFS THAT WERE RETURNED SU- 3/6 = 50.00% ST – 1/9 = 11.11%
OPPONENT PUNT RETURNS SU- 0.00 ST – 8.50
OPPONENT PUNTS RETURNED SU- 3/7 = 66.67% ST - 2/4 = 50.00%
STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE SU- #43 ST - #66
(Everybody has their own system for this: I used this page as a source: NCAA College Football Strength of Schedule Rankings & Ratings )

The first thing I’m going to look for from other teams is sacks. This will be the third straight teams we’ve played who doesn’t have many of them. If the other team can’t pressure McCord he and his receivers will pick them apart. Historically, Stanford is famous for their passing attack but they can’t win a shoot-out with us. Our pass defense hasn’t been great but theirs is bad. They haven’t given up a lot of sacks but 17 TFL’s is a lot. It seems strange that we are averaging 136 more yards per game than Stanford but both teams are averaging 34 points a game. I think special teams has something to do with that. This may be the last game we play in which we have an advent age in strength of schedule.


Stats that were (relatively) even:
SCORING OFFENSE SU- 34.50 ST – 34.00
OFFENSIVE RUSHING YARDS SU- 130.00 ST – 120.00
OFFENSIVE AVERAGE ON RUNNING PLAYS (- sacks) SU- 4.6 ST – 4.4
OFFENSIVE COMPLETION PERCENTAGE SU- 68.60 ST – 66.67
SACKS ALLOWED SU- 2 ST - 2
DEFENSIVE COMPLETION PERCENTAGE SU- 67.14 ST – 68.05
DEFENSIVE 3RD AND 4TH DOWN PERCENTAGE SU- 37.93 ST – 40.00
TACKLES FOR A LOSS SU- 13 ST – 12
NET PUNTING SU- 36.80 ST – 37.00
(SU’s stats has Jack Stonehouse averaging 46.0 but SU 36.8 because of the block)
EXTRA POINTS MISSED SU- 0 ST - 0
TIME OF POSSESSION SU- 32:43 ST – 32:00
COMMON OPPONENTS:
None

Neither team has been able to get their running game going. If we can avoid blocks, (and we seemed to have patched that up during the last game), Stonehouse could give us some extra yards in punt exchanges.
 

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