Why Syracuse will win | Syracusefan.com

Why Syracuse will win

SWC75

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- Kyle McCord has proven that the past doesn’t matter for this team. He can overcome all jinxes, weaknesses, mistakes and deficits with his passing ability and the quality of his receivers. (We can finally see what Justus Ross-Simmons can do). In Kyle we trust!

- Just get us to third down - or in the red zone - or in OT. With Kyle and LeQuint, we're in control!

- Our running game is starting to develop to compliment our passing game. LeQuint Allen isn’t explosive but he’s tough and versatile. Will Nixon has been replaced as the #2 guy by Yasim Willis, who has NFL level size and power, under-rated speed and he can catch the ball, too. NC State has trouble tackling and they will have trouble tackling these guys.

- Despite the injuries, our defense has bene getting better. UNLV got 41 points, 3 in OT but they got two TDs off of our punting disasters so the rebels, who had been averaging 45 points a game, got only 24 offensive points in regulation. We should have beaten them by those two TDs.

- Fadil Diggs has started to live up to the hype. Two sacks and two TFLs vs. UNLV gave us a chance to win that game. And here’s a name you’re going to hear more and more: KingJoseph Edwards. He’s going to live in opposing backfields.

- Both teams have played two ranked teams. We won ours by a combined 75-69. They lost theirs by a combined 45-110.

- Coach Brown has told me that I’ll like what I see of our kicking game in this game. I look forward to it.

4-1 and 7 + to go!

LET’S GO ORANGE!


Stats that favor Syracuse:
SCORING OFFENSE SU- 35.80 NCS – 27.83
TOTAL OFFENSIVE YARDS SU- 478.90 NCS – 377.00
OFFENSIVE FIRST DOWNS SU- 27.20 NCS – 20.17
OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS SU- 369.00 NCS – 218.67
OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER COMPLETION SU- 11.82 NCS – 10.33
OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER ATTEMPT SU- 7.56 NCS – 6.80
OFFENSIVE PASSING EFFICIENCY SU- 145.52 NCS – 131.40
OFFENSIVE 3RD AND 4TH DOWN PERCENTAGE SU- 56.82 NCS – 37.80
OFFENSIVE RED ZONE POINTS (extra points assumed) SU- 138/25 = 5.52 NCS – 109/23 = 4.74
TACKLES FOR A LOSS ALLOWED SU- 26 NCS - 48
SCORING DEFENSE SU- 26.20 NCS – 33.67
TOTAL DEFENSIVE YARDS SU- 345.80 NCS – 377.00
DEFENSIVE RUSHING YARDS SU- 136.60 NCS – 160.30
DEFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER COMPLETION SU- 9.86 NCS – 11.82
DEFENSIVE 3RD AND 4TH DOWN PERCENTAGE SU- 34.33 NCS – 42.22
DEFENSIVE RED ZONE POINTS SU- 80/17 = 4.71 NCS – 123/24 = 5.125
OPPONENT KICKOFFS THAT WERE RETURNED SU- 8/26 = 30.77% NCS – 5/38 = 13.16%
OPPONENT PUNTS RETURNED SU- 9/23 = 39.13% NCS - 4/22 = 18.18%

We are passing for more yards, getting more first downs and scoring more points than the Wolfpack. We do much better on 3rd and 4th down and are better in the Red Zone. The Pack has played one more game but, even so, giving up 48 TFLs halfway through the season seams like a lot, at least compared to our 26. They give up more rushing yards and I think our rushing attack is improving; we might see it in this game. We’re also passing for more yards per completion. We also have a 3rd and 4th down edge and red zone edge on defense. Those are certainly things that can win games.


Stats that were (relatively) even:
OFFENSIVE AVERAGE ON RUNNING PLAYS (- sacks) SU- 5.32 NCS – 5.16
OFFENSIVE COMPLETION PERCENTAGE SU- 63.93 NCS – 65.80
SACKS ALLOWED SU- 11 NCS – 9
DEFENSIVE FIRST DOWNS SU- 18.80 NCS – 19.17
DEFENSIVE AVERAGE ON RUNNING PLAYS (- SACKS) SU – 5.75 NCS – 6.55
DEFENSIVE PASSING YARDS SU- 209.20 NCS – 216.67
DEFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER ATTEMPT SU- 6.50 NCS – 6.70
DEFENSIVE PASSING EFFICIENCY SU- 128.55 NCS – 125.52
SACKS SU- 11 NCS - 11
TACKLES FOR A LOSS SU- 31 NCS – 35.5 (?)
BLOCKED KICKS SU - 0 NCS - 0
DEFENSIVE TOUCHDOWNS SU - 1 NCS– 0
KICKOFF RETURNS SU- 19.63 NCS – 19.00
OPPONENT KICKOFF RETURNS SU- 19.33 NCS – 00.00
PUNT RETURNS SU- 10.00 NCS – 12.50
OPPONENT PUNT RETURNS SU- 16.40 NCS – 15.43
PUNTS RETURNED SU- 3/15 = 20.00% NCS – 7/26 = 26.92%
EXTRA POINTS MISSED SU- 0 NCS- 0
TURNOVER MARGIN SU- 6/5 = -1 NCS - 10/11 = -1
PENALTIES SU- 6.20/54.00 NCS – 5.50/56.00yds
TIME OF POSSESSION SU- 33.16 NCS – 32.50
STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE SU- #68 NCS - #71
(Everybody has their own system for this: I used this page as a source: NCAA College Football Strength of Schedule Rankings & Ratings
COMMON OPPONENTS:
None

I know what half a TFL is for an individual player but I don’t know how a team gets half a TFL.

The stat in this group that I wonder about the most is the strength of schedule. I had the impression that the Wolfpack had had a tough time of it but that, in part, was due to the difficulties of their schedule. They’ve beaten Western Carolina 38-21, lost to #14 Tennessee 10-51, beaten Louisiana Tech 30-20, lost to #21 Clemson 35-59, beaten Northern Illinois, (who had beaten Notre Dame) 24-17 and lost to Wake Forest 30-34. We’ve beaten two ranked teams, but they were barely ranked and aren’t any more. Georgia tech and UNLV don’t compare to Tennessee and Clemson. Our other wins are against Ohio U. and Holy Cross. I’m not sure how they compare to Western Carolina and Louisiana Tech. Beating NIU and losing a close one to Wake Forest are more impressive than our loss to Stanford. The numbers are likely to be skewed a bit because they’ve played two teams who are or may wind up in the top ten.
 
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